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Four mistakes in the use of measures of expected inflation

Author

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  • Reis, Ricardo
Abstract
With the profusion of measures of expected inflation (from market prices and from surveys of households, firms, and professionals) it is a mistake to focus on a single one while ignoring the others. This paper discusses four common arguments for a single focus, and finds each of them to be lacking. In the process, it isolates characteristics of different measures that models that combine them should take into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Reis, Ricardo, 2023. "Four mistakes in the use of measures of expected inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17850, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17850
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ricardo Reis, 2022. "Expected Inflation in the Euro Area: Measurement and Policy Responses," Discussion Papers 2301, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
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    Cited by:

    1. Ivan Yotzov & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Gregory Thwaites, 2024. "The Speed of Firm Response to Inflation," NBER Working Papers 32731, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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      More about this item

      Keywords

      Phillips curve; Monetary policy;

      JEL classification:

      • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
      • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
      • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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