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Direct, Spillover and Welfare Effects of Regional Firm Subsidies

Author

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  • Siegloch, Sebastian
  • Wehrhöfer, Nils
  • Etzel, Tobias
Abstract
We analyze the effects of a large place-based policy, subsidizing up to 50% of investment costs of manufacturing firms in East Germany after reunification. We show that a 1-percentage-point decrease in the subsidy rate leads to a 1% decrease in manufacturing employment. We document important spillovers for untreated sectors in treated counties, untreated counties connected via trade and local taxes, whereas we do not find spillovers on counties in the same local labor market. We show that the policy is at least as efficient as cash transfers to the unemployed, but is more effective in curbing regional inequality.

Suggested Citation

  • Siegloch, Sebastian & Wehrhöfer, Nils & Etzel, Tobias, 2021. "Direct, Spillover and Welfare Effects of Regional Firm Subsidies," CEPR Discussion Papers 16129, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16129
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Philippe Aghion & Jing Cai & Mathias Dewatripont & Luosha Du & Ann Harrison & Patrick Legros, 2022. "Industrial Policy and Competition," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Globalization, Firms, and Workers, chapter 15, pages 349-380, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Simon Alder & Lin Shao & Fabrizio Zilibotti, 2016. "Economic reforms and industrial policy in a panel of Chinese cities," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 305-349, December.
    3. Cailin Slattery & Owen Zidar, 2020. "Evaluating State and Local Business Tax Incentives," Working Papers 261, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    4. Cailin Slattery & Owen Zidar, 2020. "Evaluating State and Local Business Incentives," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 34(2), pages 90-118, Spring.
    5. Sun, Liyang & Abraham, Sarah, 2021. "Estimating dynamic treatment effects in event studies with heterogeneous treatment effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 175-199.
    6. Ernest Liu, 2019. "Industrial Policies in Production Networks," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(4), pages 1883-1948.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Enghin Atalay & Ali Hortacsu & Mustafa Runyun & Chad Syverson & Mehmet Fatih Ulu, 2023. "Micro- and Macroeconomic Impacts of a Place-Based Industrial Policy," Working Papers 23-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    2. E. Mark Curtis & Daniel G. Garrett & Eric C. Ohrn & Kevin A. Roberts & Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato, 2021. "Capital Investment and Labor Demand," NBER Working Papers 29485, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Kazakov, Aleksandr & Koetter, Michael & Titze, Mirko & Tonzer, Lena, 2024. "The effect of firm subsidies on credit markets," IWH Discussion Papers 24/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2024.
    4. Lang, Valentin & Redeker, Nils & Bischof, Daniel, 2022. "Place-Based Policies and Inequality Within Regions," OSF Preprints 2xmzj, Center for Open Science.
    5. Max Brès & Philipp Kircher & David Koll, 2024. "Future Versus Today’s Improvements: The Trade-off of Place-Based Policies," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_573, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    6. Kazakov, Aleksandr & Koetter, Michael & Titze, Mirko & Tonzer, Lena, 2022. "Firm subsidies, financial intermediation, and bank risk," IWH Discussion Papers 2/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    7. Brès, Max & Kircher, Philipp & Koll, David, 2024. "Future versus Today’s Improvements: the Trade-off of Place-based Policies," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2024019, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    8. Lerche, Adrian, 2022. "Investment Tax Credits and the Response of Firms," IZA Discussion Papers 15668, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Bjorn Alecke & Timo Mitze, 2023. "Institutional reforms and the employment effects of spatially targeted investment grants: The case of Germany's GRW," Papers 2302.11376, arXiv.org.
    10. Aleksandr Kazakov & Michael Koetter & Mirko Titze & Lena Tonzer, 2022. "Firm subsidies, financial intermediation, and bank stability," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-078/IV, Tinbergen Institute.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Place-based policies; Employment; Spillovers; Administrative microdata;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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