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A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework

Author

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  • Linde, Jesper
  • Adrian, Tobias
  • Erceg, Christopher J.
  • Zabczyk, Pawel
  • Zhou, Jianping
Abstract
Many central banks have relied on a range of policy tools, including foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and capital flow management tools (CFMs), to mitigate the effects of volatile capital flows on their economies. We develop an empirically-oriented New Keynesian model to evaluate and quantify how using multiple policy tools can potentially improve monetary policy tradeoffs. Our model embeds nonlinear balance sheet channels and includes a range of empirically-relevant frictions. We show that FXI and CFMs may improve policy tradeoffs under certain conditions, especially for economies with less well-anchored inflation expectations, substantial foreign currency mismatch, and that are more vulnerable to shocks likely to induce capital outflows and exchange rate pressures.

Suggested Citation

  • Linde, Jesper & Adrian, Tobias & Erceg, Christopher J. & Zabczyk, Pawel & Zhou, Jianping, 2020. "A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework," CEPR Discussion Papers 15065, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15065
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    2. Juan F. Yépez, 2023. "Unintended Consequences of U.S. Monetary Policy Shocks: Dutch Disease and Capital Flow Measures in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(5), pages 99-144, December.
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    12. Richard T. Froyen & Alfred V. Guender, 2022. "The Mundellian Trilemma and Optimal Monetary Policy in a World of High Capital Mobility," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 631-656, September.
    13. Wilmar Cabrera & Santiago Gamba & Camilo Gómez & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2022. "Examining Macroprudential Policy through a Microprudential Lens," Borradores de Economia 1212, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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    17. Zhang, Zhongxia & Svirydzenka, Katsiaryna, 2020. "Unintended Consequences of Foreign Exchange Reserve Movements? Financial Dollarization in Emerging Market Economies," MPRA Paper 120822, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Solikin M. Juhro & Denny Lie & Atet Rizki Wijoseno & Mohammad Aly Fikry, 2022. "Fiscal Policy Stance, Central Bank Digital Currency, And The Optimal Monetary-Macroprudential Policy Mix," Working Papers WP/01/2022, Bank Indonesia.
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    20. Bergant, Katharina & Forbes, Kristin, 2023. "Policy packages and policy space: Lessons from COVID-19☆," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    21. Herrala, Risto, 2020. "Capital controls in an integrated world: A review of recent developments, policies and the academic debate," BOFIT Policy Briefs 9/2020, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    22. Pongpitch Amatyakul & Tosapol Apaitan & Savaphol Hiruntiaranakul & Nuwat Nookhwun, 2021. "Revisiting Thailand's Monetary Policy Model for an Integrated Policy Analysis," PIER Discussion Papers 164, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Fx intervention; Capital flow measures; Emerging economies; Dsge model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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