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The Victoria University Regional Model (VURM): Technical Documentation, Version 1.0

Author

Listed:
  • Philip Adams
  • Janine Dixon
  • Mark Horridge
Abstract
The Victoria University Regional Model (VURM, formerly known as MMRF) is a dynamic model of Australia's six states and two territories. It models each region as an economy in its own right, with region-specific prices, region-specific consumers, region-specific industries, and so on. Based on the model.s current database, in each region 79 industries produce 83 commodities. Capital is industry and region specific. In each region, there is a single household and a regional government. There is also a Federal government. Finally, there are foreigners, whose behaviour is summarised by demand curves for international exports and supply curves for international imports. In recursive-dynamic mode, VURM produces sequences of annual solutions connected by dynamic relationships such as physical capital accumulation. Policy analysis with VURM conducted in a dynamic setting involves the comparison of two alternative sequences of solutions, one generated without the policy change and the other with the policy change in place. The first sequence, called the base case projection, serves as a control path from which deviations are measured to assess the effects of the policy shock. The model includes a number of satellite modules providing more detail on the models government finance accounts, household income accounts, population and demography, and energy and greenhouse gas emissions. Each of the .satellite. modules is linked into other parts of the model, so that, projections from the model core can feed through into relevant parts of a module and changes in a module can feed back into the model core. The model also includes extensions to the core model theory dealing with links between demography and government consumption, the supply and interstate mobility of labour, and export supplies.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip Adams & Janine Dixon & Mark Horridge, 2015. "The Victoria University Regional Model (VURM): Technical Documentation, Version 1.0," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-254, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-254
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R.A. McDougall, 1993. "Energy Taxes and Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Australia," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-104, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    2. Edward A. Hudson & Dale W. Jorgenson, 1974. "U.S. Energy Policy and Economic Growth, 1975-2000," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 5(2), pages 461-514, Autumn.
    3. Ralph Lattimore & Clinton Pobke, 2008. "Recent Trends in Australian Fertility," Staff Working Papers 0806, Productivity Commission, Government of Australia.
    4. Stern,Nicholas, 2007. "The Economics of Climate Change," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521700801, September.
    5. Mark Horridge, 2000. "ORANI-G: A General Equilibrium Model of the Australian Economy," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers op-93, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    6. Productivity Commission, 2005. "Economic Implications of an Ageing Australia," Research Reports, Productivity Commission, Government of Australia, number 16.
    7. Berndt, Ernst R & Wood, David O, 1975. "Technology, Prices, and the Derived Demand for Energy," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 57(3), pages 259-268, August.
    8. Dixon, Peter B. & Pearson, K.R. & Picton, Mark R. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2005. "Rational expectations for large CGE models: A practical algorithm and a policy application," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(6), pages 1001-1019, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Janine M. Dixon & Philip D. Adams & Nicholas Sheard, 2021. "The impacts of COVID‐19 containment on the Australian economy and its agricultural and mining industries," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(4), pages 776-801, October.
    2. Philip Adams, 2021. "Zero Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050: What it means for the Australian Economy, Industries and Regions," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-324, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    3. Xianglong Locky Liu & James Giesecke & Jason Nassios, 2023. "The Economic Effects of an International Student Levy Under Alternative Price Elasticity Assumptions," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-343, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    4. Hodges, Cedric, 2020. "The future of Australia’s thermal coal industry in a low carbon environment," Conference papers 333232, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Jason Nassios & John Madden & James Giesecke & Janine Dixon & Nhi Tran & Peter Dixon & Maureen Rimmer & Philip Adams & John Freebairn, 2019. "The economic impact and efficiency of state and federal taxes in Australia," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-289, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    6. Xianglong Liu & Jason Nassios & James Giesecke, 2022. "Oil Supply Shocks and Tax Policy Responses in Australia: Insights from a Dynamic CGE Framework," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-336, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    7. Ghaith, Ziad & Kulshreshtha, Suren & Natcher, David & Cameron, Bobby Thomas, 2021. "Regional Computable General Equilibrium models: A review," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 710-724.
    8. Janine M. Dixon & Jason Nassios, 2018. "A Dynamic Economy-wide Analysis of Company Tax Cuts in Australia," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-287, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    9. James A. Giesecke & Nhi H. Tran, 2018. "The National and Regional Consequences of Australia's Goods and Services Tax," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 94(306), pages 255-275, September.
    10. Wang, Jiayu & Quiggin, John & Wittwer, Glyn, 2019. "The rebound effect of the Australian proposed light vehicle fuel efficiency standards," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 73-84.
    11. J.M. Dixon & J. Nassios, 2018. "The Effectiveness of Investment Stimulus Policies in Australia," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-282, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    12. Liu, Xianglong Locky & Nassios, Jason & Giesecke, James, 2024. "To tax or to spend? Modelling tax policy responses to oil price shocks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    13. Nassios, J. & Giesecke, J.A. & Dixon, P.B. & Rimmer, M.T., 2019. "Modelling the allocative efficiency of landowner taxation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 111-123.
    14. Robson, Edward N. & Wijayaratna, Kasun P. & Dixit, Vinayak V., 2018. "A review of computable general equilibrium models for transport and their applications in appraisal," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 31-53.
    15. Peter Almström & Christer Anderstig & Marcus Sundberg, 2024. "Effects on sectors and regions of a carbon tax increase in Sweden: analysis with an SCGE model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 73(2), pages 731-756, August.
    16. Janine Dixon, 2016. "Workforce Adaptation to the Cessation of Motor Vehicle Manufacturing in Australia," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 35(4), pages 301-315, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CGE modelling; dynamics; regional economics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies

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