[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cep/stiecm/597.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Inference Without Smoothing for Large Panels with Cross- Sectional and Temporal Dependence

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Hidalgo
  • Marcia M Schafgans
Abstract
This paper addresses inference in large panel data models in the presence of both cross-sectional and temporal dependence of unknown form. We are interested in making inferences without relying on the choice of any smoothing parameter as is the case with the often employed HACestimator for the covariance matrix. To that end, we propose a cluster estimator for the asymptotic covariance of the estimators and a valid bootstrap which accommodates the nonparametric nature of both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. Our approach is based on the observation that the spectral representation of the fixed effect panel data model is such that the errors become approximately temporal uncorrelated. Our proposed bootstrap can be viewed as a wild bootstrap in the frequency domain. We present some Monte-Carlo simulations to shed some light on the small sample performance of our inferential procedure and illustrate our results using an empirical example.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Hidalgo & Marcia M Schafgans, 2017. "Inference Without Smoothing for Large Panels with Cross- Sectional and Temporal Dependence," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 597, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:cep:stiecm:597
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/dps/em/em597.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Glosten, Lawrence R, 1987. "Components of the Bid-Ask Spread and the Statistical Properties of Transaction Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(5), pages 1293-1307, December.
    2. Hidalgo, Javier, 2003. "An alternative bootstrap to moving blocks for time series regression models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6850, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Chang, Chung & Todd Ogden, R., 2009. "Bootstrapping sums of independent but not identically distributed continuous processes with applications to functional data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(6), pages 1291-1303, July.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2006. "Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(4), pages 967-1012, July.
    5. Jenish, Nazgul & Prucha, Ingmar R., 2009. "Central limit theorems and uniform laws of large numbers for arrays of random fields," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 86-98, May.
    6. Peter C. B. Phillips & Hyungsik R. Moon, 1999. "Linear Regression Limit Theory for Nonstationary Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(5), pages 1057-1112, September.
    7. repec:cep:stiecm:/2013/570 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
    9. Jungyoon Lee & Peter M Robinson, 2013. "Series Estimation under Cross-sectional Dependence," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 570, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    10. Robinson, P.M., 2011. "Asymptotic theory for nonparametric regression with spatial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 165(1), pages 5-19.
    11. Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2012. "Heteroskedasticity, autocorrelation, and spatial correlation robust inference in linear panel models with fixed-effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 166(2), pages 303-319.
    12. Donald W. K. Andrews, 2005. "Cross-Section Regression with Common Shocks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(5), pages 1551-1585, September.
    13. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2017. "Inference and testing breaks in large dynamic panels with strong cross sectional dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Arellano, M, 1987. "Computing Robust Standard Errors for Within-Groups Estimators," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 49(4), pages 431-434, November.
    15. Andrews, Donald W K, 1991. "Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 817-858, May.
    16. Yasumasa Matsuda & Yoshihiro Yajima, 2004. "On testing for separable correlations of multivariate time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 501-528, July.
    17. Bester, C. Alan & Conley, Timothy G. & Hansen, Christian B., 2011. "Inference with dependent data using cluster covariance estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 165(2), pages 137-151.
    18. John C. Driscoll & Aart C. Kraay, 1998. "Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation With Spatially Dependent Panel Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(4), pages 549-560, November.
    19. Peter Robinson, 2011. "Asymptotic theory for nonparametric regression with spatial data," CeMMAP working papers CWP11/11, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    20. Jinyong Hahn & Guido Kuersteiner, 2002. "Asymptotically Unbiased Inference for a Dynamic Panel Model with Fixed Effects when Both "n" and "T" Are Large," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(4), pages 1639-1657, July.
    21. Gneiting T., 2002. "Nonseparable, Stationary Covariance Functions for Space-Time Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 590-600, June.
    22. Javier Hidalgo, 2003. "An Alternative Bootstrap to Moving Blocks for Time Series Regression Models," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 452, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    23. Hidalgo, Javier, 2003. "An alternative bootstrap to moving blocks for time series regression models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 369-399, December.
    24. Lee, Jungyoon & Robinson, Peter M., 2013. "Series estimation under cross-sectional dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 58188, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    25. Dimitris Politis & Halbert White, 2004. "Automatic Block-Length Selection for the Dependent Bootstrap," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 53-70.
    26. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2017. "Inference and testing breaks in large dynamic panels with strong cross sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 259-274.
    27. P. M. Robinson, 1998. "Inference-Without-Smoothing in the Presence of Nonparametric Autocorrelation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(5), pages 1163-1182, September.
    28. Jenish, Nazgul & Prucha, Ingmar R., 2012. "On spatial processes and asymptotic inference under near-epoch dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 178-190.
    29. Daniel Hoechle, 2007. "Robust standard errors for panel regressions with cross-sectional dependence," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 7(3), pages 281-312, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Linton, O. & Tang, H., 2020. "Estimation of the Kronecker Covariance Model by Quadratic Form," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2050, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia M. A., 2017. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87748, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. J. Hidalgo & M. Schafgans, 2020. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," Papers 2006.14409, arXiv.org.
    3. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2021. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 125-160.
    4. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2021. "Inference without smoothing for large panels with cross-sectional and temporal dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 107426, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2017. "Inference and testing breaks in large dynamic panels with strong cross sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 259-274.
    6. Hidalgo, Javier & Schafgans, Marcia, 2017. "Inference and testing breaks in large dynamic panels with strong cross sectional dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Javier Hidalgo & Marcia M Schafgans, 2015. "Inference and Testing Breaks in Large Dynamic Panels with Strong Cross Sectional Dependence," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2015/583, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    8. Gupta, Abhimanyu, 2018. "Autoregressive spatial spectral estimates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 80-95.
    9. Abhimanyu Gupta & Xi Qu, 2021. "Consistent specification testing under spatial dependence," Papers 2101.10255, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    10. Kim, Min Seong & Sun, Yixiao, 2013. "Heteroskedasticity and spatiotemporal dependence robust inference for linear panel models with fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(1), pages 85-108.
    11. Vogelsang, Timothy J., 2012. "Heteroskedasticity, autocorrelation, and spatial correlation robust inference in linear panel models with fixed-effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 166(2), pages 303-319.
    12. Timothy G. Conley & Sílvia Gonçalves & Min Seong Kim & Benoit Perron, 2023. "Bootstrap inference under cross‐sectional dependence," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 511-569, May.
    13. Timothy Conley & Silvia Gonçalves & Christian Hansen, 2018. "Inference with Dependent Data in Accounting and Finance Applications," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(4), pages 1139-1203, September.
    14. Paulo M. D. C. Parente & Richard J. Smith, 2021. "Quasi‐maximum likelihood and the kernel block bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 377-405, July.
    15. Lee, Jungyoon & Robinson, Peter M., 2016. "Series estimation under cross-sectional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 1-17.
    16. Jungyoon Lee & Peter Robinson, 2016. "Series estimation under cross-sectional dependence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 63380, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Daniel Hoechle, 2007. "Robust standard errors for panel regressions with cross-sectional dependence," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 7(3), pages 281-312, September.
    18. Jushan Bai & Sung Hoon Choi & Yuan Liao, 2021. "Feasible generalized least squares for panel data with cross-sectional and serial correlations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 309-326, January.
    19. Bai, Jushan & Choi, Sung Hoon & Liao, Yuan, 2024. "Standard errors for panel data models with unknown clusters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(2).
    20. Hoechle, Daniel & Schmid, Markus & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2012. "Decomposing Performance," Working Papers on Finance 1216, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Nov 2015.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Large panel data models; cross-sectional strong-dependence; central Limit Theorems; clustering; discrete Fourier Transformation; nonparametric bootstrap algorithms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cep:stiecm:597. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.