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Urban-Biased Structural Change

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Natalie

    (University of Warwick, CEPR and CESifo)

  • Novy, Dennis

    (University of Warwick, CEPR, CEP/LSE and CESifo)

  • Perroni, Carlo

    (University of Warwick and CEFiso)

  • Chern Wong, Horng

    (Stockholm University)

Abstract
Using firm-level data from France, we document that the shift of economic activity from manufacturing to services over the last few decades has been urban-biased: structural change has been more pronounced in areas with higher population density. This bias can be accounted for by the location choices of large services firms that sort into big cities and large manufacturing firms that increasingly locate in suburban and rural areas. Motivated by these findings, we estimate a structural model of city formation with heterogeneous firms and international trade. We find that agglomeration economies have strengthened for services but weakened for manufacturing. This divergence is a key driver of the urban bias but it dampens aggregate structural change. Rising manufacturing productivity and falling international trade costs further contribute to the growth of large services firms in the densest urban areas, boosting services productivity and services exports, but also land prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Natalie & Novy, Dennis & Perroni, Carlo & Chern Wong, Horng, 2023. "Urban-Biased Structural Change," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 694, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    • Handle: RePEc:cge:wacage:694
    as

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    File URL: https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/centres/cage/manage/publications/wp694.2023.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agglomeration; Cities; Export; Firm Sorting; Manufacturing; Productivity; Services; Trade Costs JEL Classification: F15; F61; R12; R14;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F00 - International Economics - - General - - - General
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns

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