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Identification of Dynamic Panel Binary Response Models

Author

Listed:
  • Shakeeb Khan

    (Boston College)

  • Maria Ponomareva

    (Northern Illinois University)

  • Elie Tamer

    (Harvard University)

Abstract
We analyze identification in dynamic econometric models of binary choice with fixed effects under general conditions. This class of models is often used in the literature to distinguish between state dependence (invariably referred to in the recent literature as switching costs, inertia or stickiness) and heterogeneity. We first characterize the sharp set for parameters in a dynamic panel of binary choice under conditional stationarity. The identified set can be characterized by a union of convex polyhedrons. We conduct the same exercise under the stronger assumption of conditional exchangeability, and establish its incremental identifying power. We extend our identification approach to study models with more time periods as well. We also provide sufficient conditions for point identification. For inference in cases with discrete regressors, we provide an approach to constructing confidence sets for the identified sets using a linear program that is simple to implement. The paper then provides simulation based evidence on the size and shape of the identified sets in varying designs to illustrate the informational content of different assumptions. We also illustrate the inference approach using a data set on women’s labor supply decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Shakeeb Khan & Maria Ponomareva & Elie Tamer, 2019. "Identification of Dynamic Panel Binary Response Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 979, Boston College Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:boc:bocoec:979
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    12. Aguirregabiria, Victor & Gu, Jiaying & Luo, Yao, 2021. "Sufficient statistics for unobserved heterogeneity in structural dynamic logit models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 223(2), pages 280-311.
    13. Chamberlain, Gary & Imbens, Guido W, 2003. "Nonparametric Applications of Bayesian Inference," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 12-18, January.
    14. Jean‐Pierre Dubé & Günter J. Hitsch & Peter E. Rossi, 2010. "State dependence and alternative explanations for consumer inertia," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 41(3), pages 417-445, September.
    15. Benjamin R. Handel, 2013. "Adverse Selection and Inertia in Health Insurance Markets: When Nudging Hurts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(7), pages 2643-2682, December.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Isaiah Andrews & Jonathan Roth & Ariel Pakes, 2023. "Inference for Linear Conditional Moment Inequalities," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(6), pages 2763-2791.
    2. Botosaru, Irene & Muris, Chris & Pendakur, Krishna, 2023. "Identification of time-varying transformation models with fixed effects, with an application to unobserved heterogeneity in resource shares," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 576-597.
    3. Chris Muris & Pedro Raposo & Sotiris Vandoros, 2020. "A dynamic ordered logit model with fixed effects," Papers 2008.05517, arXiv.org.
    4. Bo E Honoré & Áureo de Paula, 2021. "Identification in simple binary outcome panel data models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(2), pages 78-93.
    5. Irene Botosaru & Chris Muris & Krishna Pendakur, 2020. "Intertemporal Collective Household Models: Identification in Short Panels with Unobserved Heterogeneity in Resource Shares," CeMMAP working papers CWP26/20, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    6. Bo E. Honor'e & Martin Weidner, 2020. "Moment Conditions for Dynamic Panel Logit Models with Fixed Effects," Papers 2005.05942, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    7. Fu Ouyang & Thomas Tao Yang, 2020. "Semiparametric Estimation of Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2020-671, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
    8. Bo E. Honoré & Martin Weidner, 2021. "Moment Conditions for Dynamic Panel Logit Models with Fixed Effects," Working Papers 2021-79, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    9. Fu Ouyang & Thomas Tao Yang, 2020. "Semiparametric Estimation of Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models," Discussion Papers Series 626, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    10. Bo E. Honoré & Martin Weidner, 2020. "Moment Conditions for Dynamic Panel Logit Models with Fixed Effects," CeMMAP working papers CWP38/20, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Binary Choice; Dynamic Panel Data; Partial Identification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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