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Exclusion Restrictions in Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models

Author

Listed:
  • Songnian Chen

    (HKUST)

  • Shakeeb Khan

    (Boston College)

  • Xun Tang

    (Rice University)

Abstract
In this note we revisit the use of exclusion restrictions in the semiparametric binary choice panel data model introduced in Honore and Lewbel (2002). We show that in a dynamic panel data setting (where one of the pre-determined explanatory variables is the lagged dependent variable), the exclusion restriction in Honore and Lewbel (2002) implicitly re- quires serial independence condition on an observed regressor, that if violated in the data will result in their procedure being inconsistent. We propose a new identification strategy and estimation procedure for the semiparametric binary panel data model under exclusion restrictions that accommodate the serial correlation of observed regressors in a dynamic setting. The new estimator converges at the parametric rate to a limiting normal distribution. This rate is faster than the nonparametric rates of existing alternative estimators for the binary choice panel data model, including the static case in Manski (1987) and the dynamic case in Honore and Kyriazidou (2000).

Suggested Citation

  • Songnian Chen & Shakeeb Khan & Xun Tang, 2018. "Exclusion Restrictions in Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 947, Boston College Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:boc:bocoec:947
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeremy T. Fox, 2007. "Semiparametric estimation of multinomial discrete-choice models using a subset of choices," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 38(4), pages 1002-1019, December.
    2. Ai, Chunrong & Gan, Li, 2010. "An alternative root-n consistent estimator for panel data binary choice models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 93-100, July.
    3. Bo E. Honore & Arthur Lewbel, 2002. "Semiparametric Binary Choice Panel Data Models Without Strictly Exogeneous Regressors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(5), pages 2053-2063, September.
    4. Chen, Songnian & Khan, Shakeeb & Tang, Xun, 2016. "Informational content of special regressors in heteroskedastic binary response models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 162-182.
    5. Manski, Charles F, 1987. "Semiparametric Analysis of Random Effects Linear Models from Binary Panel Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 357-362, March.
    6. Joseph G. Altonji & Rosa L. Matzkin, 2005. "Cross Section and Panel Data Estimators for Nonseparable Models with Endogenous Regressors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(4), pages 1053-1102, July.
    7. Hahn, Jinyong, 2001. "The Information Bound Of A Dynamic Panel Logit Model With Fixed Effects," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(5), pages 913-932, October.
    8. Lewbel, Arthur & Tang, Xun, 2015. "Identification and estimation of games with incomplete information using excluded regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(1), pages 229-244.
    9. Lewbel, Arthur, 2000. "Semiparametric qualitative response model estimation with unknown heteroscedasticity or instrumental variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 145-177, July.
    10. Arthur Lewbel & Xun Tang, 2010. "Identification and Estimation of Games with Incomplete Information Using Excluded Regressors, Second Version," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-018, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 20 Mar 2012.
    11. Jason Abrevaya & Jerry A. Hausman & Shakeeb Khan, 2010. "Testing for Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Model With Endogenous Regressors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(6), pages 2043-2061, November.
    12. Bo E. Honoré & Ekaterini Kyriazidou, 2000. "Panel Data Discrete Choice Models with Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(4), pages 839-874, July.
    13. Sherman, Robert P, 1993. "The Limiting Distribution of the Maximum Rank Correlation Estimator," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(1), pages 123-137, January.
    14. Heckman, James J, 1991. "Identifying the Hand of the Past: Distinguishing State Dependence from Heterogeneity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(2), pages 75-79, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Williams, Benjamin, 2020. "Nonparametric identification of discrete choice models with lagged dependent variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 286-304.
    2. Fu Ouyang & Thomas Tao Yang, 2022. "Semiparametric Estimation of Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models," Papers 2202.12062, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Fu Ouyang & Thomas Tao Yang, 2020. "Semiparametric Estimation of Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2020-671, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
    4. Fu Ouyang & Thomas Tao Yang, 2020. "Semiparametric Estimation of Dynamic Binary Choice Panel Data Models," Discussion Papers Series 626, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Panel Data; Dynamic Binary Choice; Exclusion Restriction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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