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China's energy consumption: A perspective from Divisia aggregation approach

Author

Listed:
  • Hua Liao
  • Yi-Ming Wei

    (Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology)

Abstract
China's total energy consumption, according to the official data, decreased impressively during 1997-1998 and increased sharply during 2003-2007, which in turn resulted in energy intensity fluctuation. Many literatures explained this "unusual phenomenon" from the perspectives of technical change, economic structure shifting and statistical data quality. They measured aggregate energy in thermal units by using linear summation approaches. In this paper, from the perspectives of heterogeneity and imperfect substitutability among diverse energy types, we further examine China's aggregate energy consumption by using Divisia (Sato-Vartia) approach. The results show that China's aggregate energy consumption and intensity fluctuated slightly less than values calculated by using conventional linear approaches, and the "unusual phenomenon" is partly explained. It also implies that China's energy intensity changes in 2006-2007 are slightly more optimistic than those officially reported, and the official communiqu' of provincial energy intensity reduction achievements are partly bias. Some provincial achievement are underestimated or overestimated on some provinces. Our empirical results are also helpful to further research, such as energy-economic modeling, energy price elasticity, and elasticity of substitution among capital-labor-energy-material (KLEM). The difficulties or defects when using Divisia approach are also discussed in this paper.

Suggested Citation

  • Hua Liao & Yi-Ming Wei, 2009. "China's energy consumption: A perspective from Divisia aggregation approach," CEEP-BIT Working Papers 1, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology.
    • Handle: RePEc:biw:wpaper:1
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    File URL: http://ceep.bit.edu.cn/docs/2018-10/20181016041019168598.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Işıl Şirin SELÇUK, 2018. "Türkiye Sanayi Sektörü Enerji Verimliliği: Genişletilmiş Logaritmik Ortalama Divisia Endeks Ayrıştırma Yöntemi Uygulaması," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 26(37).
    8. Chao Xu & Yunpeng Wang & Lili Li & Peng Wang, 2018. "Spatiotemporal Trajectory of China’s Provincial Energy Efficiency and Implications on the Route of Economic Transformation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-14, December.
    9. Qiang Wang & Rongrong Li & Rui Jiang, 2016. "Decoupling and Decomposition Analysis of Carbon Emissions from Industry: A Case Study from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-17, October.
    10. Fernández González, P. & Presno, M.J. & Landajo, M., 2015. "Regional and sectoral attribution to percentage changes in the European Divisia carbonization index," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1437-1452.
    11. Lin, Boqiang & Wang, Ailun, 2015. "Estimating energy conservation potential in China's commercial sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 147-156.
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    13. Xia, X.H. & Huang, G.T. & Chen, G.Q. & Zhang, Bo & Chen, Z.M. & Yang, Q., 2011. "Energy security, efficiency and carbon emission of Chinese industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3520-3528, June.
    14. Zhang, Jing & Deng, Shihuai & Shen, Fei & Yang, Xinyao & Liu, Guodong & Guo, Hang & Li, Yuanwei & Hong, Xiao & Zhang, Yanzong & Peng, Hong & Zhang, Xiaohong & Li, Li & Wang, Yingjun, 2011. "Modeling the relationship between energy consumption and economy development in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 4227-4234.
    15. Li, Fangyi & Song, Zhouying & Liu, Weidong, 2014. "China's energy consumption under the global economic crisis: Decomposition and sectoral analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 193-202.
    16. Zheng, Tengfei & Qiang, Maoshan & Chen, Wenchao & Xia, Bingqing & Wang, Jianing, 2016. "An externality evaluation model for hydropower projects: A case study of the Three Gorges Project," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 74-85.
    17. Fernández González, P. & Landajo, M. & Presno, M.J., 2013. "The Divisia real energy intensity indices: Evolution and attribution of percent changes in 20 European countries from 1995 to 2010," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 340-349.
    18. Xia, X.H. & Chen, Y.B. & Li, J.S. & Tasawar, H. & Alsaedi, A. & Chen, G.Q., 2014. "Energy regulation in China: Objective selection, potential assessment and responsibility sharing by partial frontier analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 292-302.
    19. Fernández González, P. & Landajo, M. & Presno, M.J., 2014. "Multilevel LMDI decomposition of changes in aggregate energy consumption. A cross country analysis in the EU-27," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 576-584.
    20. Liang, Sai & Zhang, Tianzhu, 2011. "Interactions of energy technology development and new energy exploitation with water technology development in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 6960-6966.
    21. Raza Muhammad khan & Sohail Farooq & Muhammad Akram Gilal, 2020. "Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth: A Time-Series Study on Pakistan," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 5(1), pages 24-37, March.
    22. Xu, Tang & Baosheng, Zhang & Lianyong, Feng & Masri, Marwan & Honarvar, Afshin, 2011. "Economic impacts and challenges of China’s petroleum industry: An input–output analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 2905-2911.
    23. Fan, Jing-Li & Zhang, Yue-Jun & Wang, Bing, 2017. "The impact of urbanization on residential energy consumption in China: An aggregated and disaggregated analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 220-233.
    24. Fernández González, P., 2015. "Exploring energy efficiency in several European countries. An attribution analysis of the Divisia structural change index," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 364-374.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Divisia; Energy Aggregation; Imperfect Substitutability; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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