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Regional multipliers across the Italian regions

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Destefanis

    (Università di Salerno)

  • Mario Di Serio

    (Università di Salerno)

  • Matteo Fragetta

    (Università di Salerno)

Abstract
This paper estimates the multipliers of different types of government spending in the 20 Italian administrative regions throughout 1994–2016. We estimate region-specific multipliers through a Bayesian random effect panel vector autoregressive model. We find that the EU structural funds, compared to the other types of government spending, provide the largest and most pervasively significant GDP multipliers, whereas the effectiveness of nationally funded government investment and government consumption shocks is limited to certain regions. We also find substitutability between EU structural funds and other expenditure variables, which runs counter to the principle of additionality of the EU cohesion policy. An exploratory analysis of the distribution of multipliers across regions and expenditure types suggests that multiplier values are positively associated with the amount of unused resources as well as with the region size.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Destefanis & Mario Di Serio & Matteo Fragetta, 2020. "Regional multipliers across the Italian regions," Discussion Paper series in Regional Science & Economic Geography 2020-04, Gran Sasso Science Institute, Social Sciences, revised Jul 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahy:wpaper:wp4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sergio Destefanis & Valter Di Giacinto, 2022. "EU structural funds and GDP per capita: Spatial VAR evidence for the European regions," Discussion Paper series in Regional Science & Economic Geography 2022-09, Gran Sasso Science Institute, Social Sciences, revised Oct 2024.
    2. Reljic, Jelena & Zezza, Francesco, 2024. "Breaking the Divide: Can Public Spending on Social Infrastructure Boost Female Employment in Italy?," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1407, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    3. Matarrese, Marco Maria & Frangiamore, Francesco, 2023. "Italian local fiscal multipliers: Evidence from proxy-SVAR," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    4. Francesco Simone Lucidi, 2023. "The misalignment of fiscal multipliers in Italian regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(10), pages 2073-2086, October.
    5. Destefanis, Sergio & Rehman, Naqeeb Ur, 2023. "Investment, innovation activities and employment across European regions," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 474-490.
    6. Brasili, Andrea & Brasili, Cristina & Musto, Giorgio & Tueske, Annamaria, 2023. "Complementarities between local public and private investment in EU regions," EIB Working Papers 2023/04, European Investment Bank (EIB).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EU structural funds; government consumption; government investment; Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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