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"And Yet, It Moves": Intergenerational Mobility in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Paolo Acciari

    (Ministry of Economy and Finance of Italy)

  • Alberto Polo

    (New York University)

  • Giovanni L. Violante

    (Princeton University)

Abstract
We link administrative data on tax returns across two generations of Italians to study the degree of intergenerational mobility. We estimate that a child with parental income below the median is expected to belong to the 44th percentile of its own income distribution as an adult, and the probability of moving from the bottom to the top quintile of the income distribution within a generation is 0.10. The rank-rank correlation is 0.25, and rank persistence at the top is significantly higher than elsewhere in the income distribution. Upward mobility is higher for sons, first-born children, children of selfemployed parents, and for those who migrate once adults. The data reveal large variation in child outcomes conditional on parental income rank. Part of this variation is explained by the location where the child grew up. Provinces in Northern Italy, the richest area of the country, display upward mobility levels 3-4 times as large as those in the South. This regional variation is strongly correlated with local labor market conditions, indicators of family instability, and school quality.

Suggested Citation

  • Paolo Acciari & Alberto Polo & Giovanni L. Violante, 2019. ""And Yet, It Moves": Intergenerational Mobility in Italy," Working Papers wp2019-4, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahg:wpaper:wp2019-4
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    Keywords

    Intergenerational Mobility; Inequality; Italy; Geographical Variation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics

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