[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aaae10/96646.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Maize prices in South Africa: Can the producer increase his revenue by marketing grain through cattle?

Author

Listed:
  • Mare, Frikkie A.
  • Nell, Wilhelm T.
  • Willemse, B.J.
Abstract
Since the decline in the price of maize from the beginning of 2010, meat has become the new buzzword under maize producers as they are desperately looking for alternatives to increase the value of their crops. It seems as if the price of maize may stay low at levels equal to export parity prices for the next year or two due to very large yields and an increasing level of ending stocks each year. On the other hand, there is the meat sector which is doing extremely well and had even shown positive growth during the worldwide financial crisis. A substantial decrease in the price of beef therefore seems unlikely and makes it a very attractive alternative market for maize. The question, however, is whether the value of maize can be increased by marketing it through beef, and what factors influence the profitability of this marketing alternative. A model simulating different scenarios with regards to the physical and financial information of a feedlot indicates that in the most cases a feedlot will have a positive margin and thus increases the value of the maize that is fed. The factors that were found to affect the margin the most in a negatively correlated relation, are the weaner price, maize price, feed conversion ratio, mortality rate and feed concentrate price, while those affecting the margin in a positively correlated way are the carcass price, slaughter percentage and average daily gain.

Suggested Citation

  • Mare, Frikkie A. & Nell, Wilhelm T. & Willemse, B.J., 2010. "Maize prices in South Africa: Can the producer increase his revenue by marketing grain through cattle?," 2010 AAAE Third Conference/AEASA 48th Conference, September 19-23, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa 96646, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaae10:96646
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.96646
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/96646/files/196.%20Maize%20and%20cattle%20in%20South%20Africa.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.96646?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. McCluskey, Jill J. & Wahl, Thomas I. & Li, Quan & Wandschneider, Philip R., 2005. "U.S. Grass-Fed Beef: Marketing Health Benefits," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 36(3), pages 1-8, November.
    2. Langemeier, Michael R. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Mintert, James R., 1992. "Determinants Of Cattle Finishing Profitability," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-7, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xue, Hong & Mainville, Denise Y. & You, Wen & Nayga, Rodolfo M., Jr., 2009. "Nutrition Knowledge, Sensory Characteristics and Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Pasture-Fed Beef," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49277, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. McBride, William D., 1997. "Change in U.S. Livestock Production, 1969-92," Agricultural Economic Reports 262047, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Britwum, Kofi & Yiannaka, Amalia, 2019. "Consumer willingness to pay for food safety interventions: The role of message framing and issue involvement," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Babetskaya, Lyubov, 2001. "Enhancing The Performance Of Risk-Rating Models At Community Banks," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20690, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Avent, R. Keith & Ward, Clement E. & Lalman, David L., 2002. "Asymmetric Value Of Preconditioning Programs For Feeder Cattle," 2002 Annual Meeting, July 28-31, 2002, Long Beach, California 36559, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    6. Forristall, Cody & May, Gary J. & Lawrence, John D., 2002. "Assessing The Cost Of Beef Quality," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19060, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    7. Maré, F.A. & Willemse, B.J., 2011. "PR - Should Maize Farmers Consider A Long Term Feedlot In Response To Low Maize Prices: The Case Of The South African Market (p287-296)," 18th Congress, Methven, New Zealand, 2011 345582, International Farm Management Association.
    8. Belasco, Eric J. & Taylor, Mykel R. & Goodwin, Barry K. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2009. "Probabilistic Models of Yield, Price, and Revenue Risks for Fed Cattle Production," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-15, April.
    9. Mark, Darrell R. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Jones, Rodney D., 2000. "Identifying Economic Risk In Cattle Feeding," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 18(3), pages 1-14.
    10. Avent, R. Keith & Ward, Clement E. & Lalman, David L., 2004. "Market Valuation of Preconditioning Feeder Calves," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-11, April.
    11. Lawrence, John & Wang, Zhi & Loy, Dan, 1999. "Elements of Cattle Feeding Profitability in Midwest Feedlots," ISU General Staff Papers 199901010800001486, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    12. Wendy J. Umberger & Peter C. Boxall & R. Curt Lacy, 2009. "Role of credence and health information in determining US consumers' willingness-to-pay for grass-finished beef," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 53(4), pages 603-623, October.
    13. Jones, Rodney D. & Kastens, Terry L., 1999. "Predicting Feeding Cost Of Gain With More Precision," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21506, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    14. Gwin, Lauren & Durham, Catherine A. & Miller, Jason D. & Colonna, Ann, 2012. "Understanding Markets for Grass-Fed Beef: Taste, Price, and Purchase Preferences," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 43(2), pages 1-21.
    15. Li, Xiaogu & Jensen, Kimberly L. & Clark, Christopher D. & Lambert, Dayton M., 2015. "Consumer Willingness-to-Pay for Non-taste Attributes in Beef Products," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196719, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    16. Sitienei, Isaac & Gillespie, Jeffrey & Harrison, Robert & Scaglia, Guillermo, 2015. "Estimating Desirable Cattle Traits Using Latent Class and Mixed Logit Models: A Choice Modeling Application to the U.S. Grass-Fed Beef Industry," 2015 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2015, Atlanta, Georgia 196706, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    17. Rahman, Shaikh Mahfuzur, 2006. "Optimal Incentive Structure in Cattle Feeding Contracts Under Alternative Fed Cattle Pricing Methods," Working Papers 28549, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    18. Schroeder, Ted C. & Albright, Martin L. & Langemeier, Michael R. & Mintert, James R., 1993. "Determinants of Cattle Feeding Profit and Cost of Gain Variability," Staff Papers 118161, Kansas State University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    19. Maples, Joshua G. & Coatney, Kalyn T. & Riley, John M. & Karisch, Brandi B. & Parish, Jane A. & Vann, Rhonda C., 2015. "Comparing Carcass End-Point And Profit Maximization Decision Rules Using Dynamic Nonlinear Growth Functions," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 1-25, February.
    20. Anderson, John D. & Trapp, James N., 2000. "The Dynamics Of Feeder Cattle Market Responses To Corn Price Change," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 1-13, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Livestock Production/Industries;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aaae10:96646. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaaeaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.