[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/agi/wpaper/00000137.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Solution to the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle

Author

Listed:
  • Horioka, Charles Yuji
  • Ford, Nicholas
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to set out a surprisingly simple solution to the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle or Paradox, which is that even though global financial markets appear to be integrated, levels of saving and investment are correlated across countries because financial markets cannot, by themselves, achieve net transfers of financial capital. This is because net transfers of financial capital require the integration not only of financial markets but also of goods markets and because there are substantial frictions in goods markets (e.g., transport, marketing, and distribution costs, technical standards, certification procedures, tariffs and nontariffbarriers, etc.).

Suggested Citation

  • Horioka, Charles Yuji & Ford, Nicholas, 2017. "The Solution to the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," AGI Working Paper Series 2017-17, Asian Growth Research Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:agi:wpaper:00000137
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://id.nii.ac.jp/1270/00000137/
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://agi.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=159&item_no=1&attribute_id=22&file_no=1
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 2001. "The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000, Volume 15, pages 339-412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Charles Yuji Horioka & Nicholas Ford, 2017. "A possible explanation of the ‘Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle’: a common solution to three macroeconomic puzzles?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(13), pages 918-922, July.
    3. Nicholas Ford & Charles Yuji Horioka, 2017. "The ‘real’ explanation of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 95-97, January.
    4. Horioka, Charles Yuji & Ford, Nicholas, 2016. "A Possible Explanation of the 'Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle': A Common Solution to Three Major Macroeconomic Puzzles?," AGI Working Paper Series 2016-15, Asian Growth Research Institute.
    5. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 1996. "Foundations of International Macroeconomics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262150476, April.
    6. repec:bla:econom:v:44:y:1977:i:174:p:163-78 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1976. "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1161-1176, December.
    8. Nicholas Ford & Charles Yuji Horioka, 2017. "The ‘real’ explanation of the PPP puzzle," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 325-328, March.
    9. Eaton, Jonathan & Kortum, Samuel & Neiman, Brent, 2016. "Obstfeld and Rogoff׳s international macro puzzles: a quantitative assessment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 5-23.
    10. Feldstein, Martin & Horioka, Charles, 1980. "Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(358), pages 314-329, June.
    11. Apergis, Nicholas & Tsoumas, Chris, 2009. "A survey of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: What has been done and where we stand," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 64-76, June.
    12. Mishkin, Frederic S, 1984. "Are Real Interest Rates Equal across Countries? An Empirical Investigation of International Parity Conditions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(5), pages 1345-1357, December.
    13. S. Young Chung & William J. Crowder, 2004. "Why Are Real Interest Rates Not Equalized Internationally?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 71(2), pages 441-458, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hippolyte d’Albis & Agnès Bénassy-Quéré, 2022. "Taxing capital and labor when both factors are imperfectly mobile internationally," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(1), pages 147-190, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nicholas Ford & Charles Yuji Horioka, 2017. "The ‘real’ explanation of the PPP puzzle," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 325-328, March.
    2. Nataliia Osina, 2021. "Global governance and gross capital flows dynamics," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(3), pages 463-493, August.
    3. Nicholas Ford & Charles Yuji Horioka, 2017. "The ‘real’ explanation of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 95-97, January.
    4. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2022. "The rise and fall of global financial flows in EU 15: new evidence using dynamic panels with common correlated effects," Working Papers 2212, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    5. Razak, Lutfi Abdul & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Revisit Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: evidence from Malaysia (1960-2015)," MPRA Paper 79407, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Charles Yuji Horioka & Nicholas Ford, 2017. "A possible explanation of the ‘Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle’: a common solution to three macroeconomic puzzles?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(13), pages 918-922, July.
    7. Charles Yuji Horioka, 2024. "The Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle or Paradox after 44 years: a fallacy of composition," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 75(3), pages 383-404, July.
    8. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2000. "Perspectives on OECD economic integration : implications for U.S. current account adjustment," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 169-208.
    9. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "50 Years of Capital Mobility in the Eurozone: Breaking the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(5), pages 867-905, November.
    10. Tarlok Singh, 2007. "Intertemporal Optimizing Models Of Trade And Current Account Balance: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(1), pages 25-64, February.
    11. Sinem Hacıoğlu Hoke & George Kapetanios, 2021. "Common correlated effect cross‐sectional dependence corrections for nonlinear conditional mean panel models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 125-150, January.
    12. Chu, Kam Hon, 2012. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and Spurious Ratio Correlation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 292-309.
    13. Ginama, Isamu & Hayakawa, Kazuhiko & Kanmei, Takahiro, 2018. "Examining the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle using common factor panels and interval estimation," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 11-21.
    14. Vasudeva N. R. Murthy & Natalya Ketenci, 2020. "Capital mobility in Latin American and Caribbean countries: new evidence from dynamic common correlated effects panel data modeling," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-17, December.
    15. Vasudeva N.R. Murthy & Natalya Ketenci, 2021. "The Feldstein–Horioka hypothesis for African countries: Evidence from recent panel error‐correction modelling," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5762-5774, October.
    16. Francesca Iorio & Stefano Fachin, 2014. "Savings and investments in the OECD: a panel cointegration study with a new bootstrap test," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1271-1300, June.
    17. Axel Börsch‐Supan & Alexander Ludwig & Joachim Winter, 2006. "Ageing, Pension Reform and Capital Flows: A Multi‐Country Simulation Model," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 73(292), pages 625-658, November.
    18. Anton Schautzer, 2005. "Albania: Country Profile and Recent Economic Developments," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 107-126.
    19. Romain Restout, 2008. "Monopolistic Competition and the Dependent Economy Model," EconomiX Working Papers 2008-9, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    20. Nagayasu, Jun, 2012. "The threshold consumption correlation-based approach to international capital mobility: Evidence from advanced and developing countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 256-263.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flows; capital mobility; capital transfers; Feldstein-Horioka Paradox; Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle; financial market integration; goods market integration; interest rate parity; international capital flows; international capital mobility; investment; net capital transfers; Niehans model; real interest rate parity; saving; saving-investment correlations; trade frictions; F15; F21; F32; F36; G15;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agi:wpaper:00000137. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kazuki Tamura (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/icseajp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.