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Measuring Redenomination Risks in the Euro Area - New Evidence from Survey Data

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  • Klose, Jens
Abstract
This article introduces a new indicator to measure redenomination risks in Euro area countries. The measure is based on survey data. The influence of this indicator in determining sovereign bond yield spreads is tested using an ARDL-approach. The results for ten EMU countries in the period June 2012 to May 2019 show that the risk of a depreciation is almost abandoned for most Euro area countries, i.e. the former crisis countries Ireland and Portugal. If anything an appreciation may occur for some countries once they leave the EMU. The only countries facing depreciation problems once leaving the monetary union are Italy and to some extent Spain.

Suggested Citation

  • Klose, Jens, 2019. "Measuring Redenomination Risks in the Euro Area - New Evidence from Survey Data," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203484, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:vfsc19:203484
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

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    3. Samir Kadiric, 2020. "The determinants of sovereign risk premiums in the UK and the European government bond market: The impact of Brexit," EIIW Discussion paper disbei271, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Redenomination Risk; Euro Area; Exit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F45 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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