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Assessing the potential impact on poverty of rising cereals prices : the case of Mali

Author

Listed:
  • Joseph, George
  • Wodon, Quentin
Abstract
Concerns have been raised about the impact of rising food prices worldwide on the poor. To assess the (short term) impact of rising food prices in any particular country it is necessary to look at both the impact on food producers (who benefit from an increase in prices) and food consumers (who loose out when the price increases), with a focus on poor producers and consumers. In Mali the impact of a change in the price of rice is not ambiguous because about half of the rice consumed in the country is imported, so that the negative impact for consumers is much larger than the positive impact for producers. By contrast, for millet and sorghum, as well as corn, the impact is more ambiguoussince much of the consumption is locally produced. Using a recent and comprehensive household survey, this paper provides an assessment of the potential impact of higher food prices on the poor in Mali using both simple statistical analysis and non-parametric methods. The paper finds that rising food prices for rice, millet and sorghum, corn, as well as wheat and bread could together lead to a substantial increase in poverty, with the increase in the price of rice having by far the largest negative impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph, George & Wodon, Quentin, 2008. "Assessing the potential impact on poverty of rising cereals prices : the case of Mali," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4744, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:4744
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sami Bibi & John Cockburn & Massa Coulibaly & Luca Tiberti, 2009. "The Impact of the Increase in Food Prices on Child Poverty and the Policy Response in Mali," Papers inwopa09/66, Innocenti Working Papers.
    2. Sami Bibi & Massa Coulibaly & John Cockburn & Luca Tiberti, 2009. "L'impact de la hausse des prix des produits alimentaires sur la pauvreté des enfants et les reponses politiques au Mali," Papers inwopa09/60, Innocenti Working Papers.
    3. Vu, Linh Hoang, 2012. "Poverty Impact Of The Food Crisis On Poverty In Cambodia," MPRA Paper 94799, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Prospère Backiny-Yetna & Franck Adoho & Issa Bouaré & Virginie Briand & Kassim Dabitao & Assa Gakou & Estelle Sommeiller & Dramane Traoré & Clarence Tsimpo & Quentin Wodon, 2009. "Tendance, profil et déterminants de la pauvreté au Mali de 2001 à 2006," Perspective Afrique, Association Africaine pour les Sciences sociales, vol. 4(1-3), pages 1-24.
    5. Haggblade, Steven & Me-Nsope, Nathalie M. & Staatz, John M., 2017. "Food security implications of staple food substitution in Sahelian West Africa," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 27-38.
    6. Veysel INAL & Serif CANBAY & Mustafa KIRCA, 2023. "Determinants of Food Prices in Türkiye: Fourier Engle-Granger Cointegration Test," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 133-156, January.
    7. repec:wbk:wbpubs:13081 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Nouve, Kofi & Wodon, Quentin, 2008. "Impact of rising rice prices and policy responses in Mali : simulations with a dynamic CGE model," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4739, The World Bank.
    9. Cherrier, Cecile & Ninno, Carlo del & Razmara, Setareh, 2011. "Mali social safety nets," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 89188, The World Bank.
    10. Me-Nsope, Nathalie M. & Staatz, John M., 2016. "Household-Level Evidence of Cereals Demand and the Welfare Implications of Cereals Price Shocks in Rural and Urban Mali," 2016 Fifth International Conference, September 23-26, 2016, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 246397, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    11. Trung X. Hoang & Cong S. Pham & Mehmet A. Ulubaşoğlu, 2016. "The role of rice in poverty dynamics in rural Vietnam: 2002–2008," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 132-150, January.
    12. Ole Boysen, 2009. "Border Price Shocks, Spatial Price Variation, and their Impacts on Poverty in Uganda," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp306, IIIS.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rural Poverty Reduction; Population Policies; Achieving Shared Growth; Food&Beverage Industry;
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