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The political economy of inflation and stabilization in middle-income countries

Author

Listed:
  • Haggard, Stephan
  • Kaufman, Robert
Abstract
In a number of middle-income developing countries, the severe inflationary crises of the 1980s coincided with political liberalization and an expansion of the arena of distributive politics. This wave of democratization raises questions that have recurred throughout the post-World War II period. This paper provides a comparative analysis of the politics of inflation and stabilization in seventeen Latin American and Asian countries, paying particular attention to social movements and governments that seek to mobilize the popular sector. The paper reviews the arguments linking political constraints to macroeconomic policy and inflation, especially the role that populism might play in propagating inflation. It examines the inflation histories of three groups of middle-income countries: those that have maintained relatively stable macroeconomic policies over the long-run; those that have periodically experienced severe difficulties, but managed to adjust; and those that experienced recurrent cycles of very high inflation over an extended period. The paper draws more extensively on case studies of particular inflation episodes to examine the conditions under which inflation has been brought down, paying particular attention to the effect of regime type on stabilization efforts.

Suggested Citation

  • Haggard, Stephan & Kaufman, Robert, 1990. "The political economy of inflation and stabilization in middle-income countries," Policy Research Working Paper Series 444, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:444
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Eugenio Diaz Bonilla & Hector E. Schamis, 1999. "La economía política de las políticas de cambio en Argentina," Research Department Publications 3079, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    2. Levine, Ross & Renelt, David, 1991. "Cross-country studies of growth and policy : methodological, conceptual, and statistical problems," Policy Research Working Paper Series 608, The World Bank.
    3. Eugenio Diaz Bonilla & Hector E. Schamis, 1999. "The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Policies in Argentina," Research Department Publications 3078, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    4. Robert R. Kaufman & Barbara Stallings, 1991. "The Political Economy of Latin American Populism," NBER Chapters, in: The Macroeconomics of Populism in Latin America, pages 15-43, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Hippolyte Weneyam Balima, 2020. "Coups d'état and the foreign exchange market," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(7), pages 1928-1950, July.
    6. Daniel Hansen, 2023. "The democratic (dis)advantage: The conditional impact of democracy on credit risk and sovereign default," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1), pages 356-410, March.

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