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Leaning Against the Wind

Author

Listed:
  • Federico R. Bennett
  • Carlos Vegh
  • Daniel Lederman
  • Federico Bennett
Abstract
This report by the Office of the Chief Economist for Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) of the World Bank studies the region’s fiscal policies. After reviewing LAC’s growth performance, Chapter 1 provides an accounting of its financing needs during the 21st Century to understand how such a diverse region ended up with fiscal deficits across the board in 2016. Chapter 2 goes back to the 1960s and assesses the cyclical properties of fiscal policies. LAC, like most developing countries and in contrast with most developed economies, exhibited procyclical fiscal policies. Good news arrived in the 2000s: one in three economies became countercyclical, which helped improve credit ratings. Yet fiscal policy is complicated by our inability to know if current economic conditions are temporary or permanent. The report argues for a prudent stance that would err on the side of saving too much during upswings and perhaps borrowing too little during downturns.

Suggested Citation

  • Federico R. Bennett & Carlos Vegh & Daniel Lederman & Federico Bennett, "undated". "Leaning Against the Wind," World Bank Publications - Reports 26364, The World Bank Group.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wboper:26364
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    2. Ohnsorge, Franziska & Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2020. "Benefits and Costs of Debt: The Dose Makes the Poison," CEPR Discussion Papers 14439, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Ignacio Lozano-Espitia & Fernando Arias-Rodríguez, Jesus Bejarano & Andres Gonzalez, Clark Granger-Castaño & Franz Hamann, Yurany Hernández-Turca & Juan Manuel Julio-Román, Martha López & Juan C. Mend, 2019. "La política fiscal y la estabilización macroeconómica en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, issue 90, pages 1-60, April.
    4. Luis Morano & Carlos A. Vegh & Diego Friedheim & Diego Rojas, "undated". "Between a Rock and a Hard Place," World Bank Publications - Reports 28443, The World Bank Group.

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