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Burning money? Government lending in a credit crunch

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Abstract
We analyze a small, new credit facility of a Spanish state-owned bank during the crisis, using its continuous credit scoring system, its firm-level scores, and the credit register. Compared to privately-owned banks, the state-owned bank faces worse applicants, (softens) tightens its credit supply to (un)observed riskier firms, and has much higher defaults, especially driven by unobserved ex-ante borrower risk. In a regression discontinuity design, the supply of public credit causes: large positive real effects to financially-constrained firms (whose relationship banks reduced substantially credit supply); crowding-in of new private-bank credit; and positive spillovers to other firms. Private returns of the credit facility are negative, while social returns are positive. Overall, our results provide evidence on the existence of significant adverse selection problems in credit markets.

Suggested Citation

  • José-Luis Peydró & Gabriel Jiménez & Rafael Repullo & Jesús Saurina, 2017. "Burning money? Government lending in a credit crunch," Economics Working Papers 1577, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Mar 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:1577
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    2. Huneeus, Federico & Kaboski, Joseph & Larrain, Mauricio & Schmukler, Sergio L. & Vera, Mario, 2022. "The Distribution of Crisis Credit: Effects on Firm Indebtedness and Aggregate Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 17061, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Akbas, Ozan E. & Betz, Frank & Gattini, Luca, 2023. "Quantifying credit gaps using survey data on discouraged borrowers," EIB Working Papers 2023/06, European Investment Bank (EIB).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Adverse selection; state-owned banks; credit crunch; real effects of public credit; crowding-in.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H81 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - Governmental Loans; Loan Guarantees; Credits; Grants; Bailouts

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