[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/compst/v28y2013i5p2161-2183.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Testing for multiple change points

Author

Listed:
  • Jaromír Antoch
  • Daniela Jarušková
Abstract
In this paper we concentrate on testing for multiple changes in the mean of a series of independent random variables. Suggested method applies a maximum type test statistic. Our primary focus is on an effective calculation of critical values for very large sample sizes comprising (tens of) thousands of observations and a moderate to large number of segments. To that end, Monte Carlo simulations and a modified Bellman’s principle of optimality are used. It is shown that, indisputably, computer memory becomes a critical bottleneck in solving a problem of such a size. Thus, minimization of the memory requirements and appropriate order of calculations appear to be the keys to success. In addition, the formula that can be used to get approximate asymptotic critical values using the theory of exceedance probability of Gaussian fields over a high level is presented. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Jaromír Antoch & Daniela Jarušková, 2013. "Testing for multiple change points," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(5), pages 2161-2183, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:28:y:2013:i:5:p:2161-2183
    DOI: 10.1007/s00180-013-0401-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00180-013-0401-1
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00180-013-0401-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    2. Jarusková, Daniela & Piterbarg, Vladimir I., 2011. "Log-likelihood ratio test for detecting transient change," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(5), pages 552-559, May.
    3. Hawkins, Douglas M., 2001. "Fitting multiple change-point models to data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 323-341, September.
    4. Yao, Yi-Ching, 1988. "Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz' criterion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 181-189, February.
    5. Nancy R. Zhang & David O. Siegmund, 2007. "A Modified Bayes Information Criterion with Applications to the Analysis of Comparative Genomic Hybridization Data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 63(1), pages 22-32, March.
    6. Gilles Teyssière & Alan P. Kirman (ed.), 2007. "Long Memory in Economics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-34625-8, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Marie Hušková & Zuzana Prášková, 2014. "Comments on: Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 265-269, June.
    2. Daniela Jarušková, 2015. "Detecting non-simultaneous changes in means of vectors," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(4), pages 681-700, December.
    3. Jaromír Antoch & Jan Hanousek & Marie Hušková & Jiří Trešl, 2019. "Detekce změn v panelových datech: Změna parametrů Fama-French modelu u vybraných evropských akcií v období finanční krize [Detection of Changes in Panel Data: Change in Fama-French Model Parameters," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(1), pages 3-19.
    4. Liu, Peng & Ji, Lanpeng, 2017. "Extremes of locally stationary chi-square processes with trend," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 497-525.
    5. Daniela Jarušková, 2018. "Estimating non-simultaneous changes in the mean of vectors," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 81(6), pages 721-743, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Davis, Richard A. & Hancock, Stacey A. & Yao, Yi-Ching, 2016. "On consistency of minimum description length model selection for piecewise autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 360-368.
    2. Kurozumi, Eiji & Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj, 2011. "Model selection criteria in multivariate models with multiple structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(2), pages 218-238, October.
    3. Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Alastair R. Hall & Denise R. Osborn & Nikolaos Sakkas, 2015. "Structural Break Inference Using Information Criteria in Models Estimated by Two-Stage Least Squares," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 741-762, September.
    4. Chulwoo Han & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2017. "Partial Structural Break Identification," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(2), pages 145-164, April.
    5. Venkata Jandhyala & Stergios Fotopoulos & Ian MacNeill & Pengyu Liu, 2013. "Inference for single and multiple change-points in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 423-446, July.
    6. Cho, Haeran & Kirch, Claudia, 2024. "Data segmentation algorithms: Univariate mean change and beyond," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 76-95.
    7. Yoshiyuki Ninomiya, 2015. "Change-point model selection via AIC," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 67(5), pages 943-961, October.
    8. Shi, Xuesheng & Gallagher, Colin & Lund, Robert & Killick, Rebecca, 2022. "A comparison of single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    9. Alastair R. Hall & Denise R. Osborn & Nikolaos Sakkas, 2013. "Inference on Structural Breaks using Information Criteria," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81, pages 54-81, October.
    10. Marie Hušková & Zuzana Prášková, 2014. "Comments on: Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 265-269, June.
    11. Young Hoon Lee, 2009. "The Impact of Postseason Restructuring on the Competitive Balance and Fan Demand in Major League Baseball," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 10(3), pages 219-235, June.
    12. Wang, Lu & Zhou, Ruichao & Wu, Jianhong, 2021. "Determining the number of breaks in large dimensional factor models with structural changes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    13. Bill Russell & Dooruj Rambaccussing, 2019. "Breaks and the statistical process of inflation: the case of estimating the ‘modern’ long-run Phillips curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 1455-1475, May.
    14. Hayley Jang & Young Hoon Lee & Rodney Fort, 2019. "Winning In Professional Team Sports: Historical Moments," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 103-120, January.
    15. Devi, P. Indira & Shanmugam, K.R. & Jayasree, M.G., 2012. "Compensating Wages for Occupational Risks of Farm Workers in India," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 67(2), pages 1-12.
    16. Altansukh, Gantungalag & Becker, Ralf & Bratsiotis, George J. & Osborn, Denise R., 2017. "What is the Globalisation of Inflation?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 74, pages 1-27.
    17. Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2013. "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 158-167.
    18. Kayhan, Selim & Adiguzel, Uğur & Bayat, Tayfur & Lebe, Fuat, 2010. "Causality Relationship between Real GDP and Electricity Consumption in Romania (2001-2010)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 169-183, December.
    19. Hervé Le Bihan, 2004. "Tests de ruptures : une application au PIB tendanciel français," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 163(2), pages 133-154.
    20. Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2020. "A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 669-685, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:28:y:2013:i:5:p:2161-2183. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.