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Multiregional Estimation of Gross Internal Migration Flows

Author

Listed:
  • David K. Foot

    (Department of Economics, University of Toronto, 140 St. George St., Toronto, Canada M5S IA l)

  • William J. Milne

    (Department of Economics, University of Toronto, 140 St. George St., Toronto, Canada M5S IA l)

Abstract
A multiregional model of gross internal migration flows is presented in this article. The interdependence of economic factors across all regions is recognized by imposing a non-stochastic adding-up constraint that requires total immigration to equal total outmigration in each time period. An iterated system estimation technique is used to obtain asymptotically consistent and efficient parameter estimates. The model is estimated for gross migration flows among the Canadian provinces over the period 1962-86 and then is used to examine the likelihood of a wash-out effect in net migration models. The results indicate that previous approaches that use net migration equations may not always be empirically justified.

Suggested Citation

  • David K. Foot & William J. Milne, 1989. "Multiregional Estimation of Gross Internal Migration Flows," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 12(1), pages 29-43, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:12:y:1989:i:1:p:29-43
    DOI: 10.1177/016001768901200102
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Greenwood, Michael J. & Hunt, Gary L., 1984. "Econometrically accounting for identities and restrictions in models of interregional migration," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 113-128, February.
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    6. Shaw, R Paul, 1986. "Fiscal versus Traditional Market Variables in Canadian Migration," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(3), pages 648-666, June.
    7. Dhrymes, Phoebus J, 1973. "Small Sample and Asymptotic Relations Between Maximum Likelihood and Three Stage Least Squares Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(2), pages 357-364, March.
    8. Berndt, Ernst R & Savin, N Eugene, 1975. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing in Singular Equation Systems with Autoregressive Disturbances," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 43(5-6), pages 937-957, Sept.-Nov.
    9. John Vanderkamp, 1968. "Interregional Mobility in Canada: A Study of the Time Pattern of Migration," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 1(3), pages 595-608, August.
    10. Larry A. Sjaastad, 1970. "The Costs and Returns of Human Migration," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Harry W. Richardson (ed.), Regional Economics, chapter 9, pages 115-133, Palgrave Macmillan.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jörg Decressin, 1994. "Internal migration in West Germany and implications for East-West salary convergence," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 130(2), pages 231-257, June.

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