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Causal Relationship between Construction Production and GDP in Turkey

Author

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  • Hakkı Kutay Bolkol

    (Research Assistant, Istanbul 29 Mayıs University)

Abstract
This study empirically investigates the causal relationship between construction production and GDP for Turkey during 2005Q1-2013Q4 period. Because it is found that, there is no cointegration which means there is no long run relationship between variables, VAR Granger Causality Method is used to test the causality in short run. The findings reveal that, the causality runs from GDP to Building Production and Building Production to Non-Building Production (i.e. bidirectional relationship). Findings of this paper suggest that, because there is no long run relationship between Construction Production (Building and Non-Building) and GDP and also in short run the causality runs from GDP to Construction Production, the growth strategy based on mainly Construction Sector growth is not a good idea for Turkey. Key Words:Construction Sector, Construction Production, Economic Growth, Turkey, VAR, Granger

Suggested Citation

  • Hakkı Kutay Bolkol, 2015. "Causal Relationship between Construction Production and GDP in Turkey," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 4(3), pages 42-53, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:rbs:ijbrss:v:4:y:2015:i:3:p:42-53
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Erol, Isil & Unal, Umut, 2015. "Role of Construction Sector in Economic Growth: New Evidence from Turkey," MPRA Paper 68263, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Sándor Nagy & Ilhan Edin Yildirim, 2018. "Construction Industry And Economic Growth In The Republic Of Turkey," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 140-162, December.

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