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La inseguridad y la demanda por entretenimiento: evidencia para las areas metropolitanas de Monterrey, Guadalajara y Leon

Author

Listed:
  • Edgardo Arturo Ayala Gaytan

    (Instituto Tecnologico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey)

  • Joana Cecilia Chapa Cantu

    (Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon)

Abstract
Se formula un modelo de demanda que considera la probabilidad percibida de ser victima de un delito y distingue los bienes de consumo en servicios de entretenimiento fuera del hogar y el resto. Los resultados arrojan que la probabilidad percibida de ser victima tiene un efecto negativo en la demanda de entretenimiento fuera del hogar. Las predicciones del modelo son probadas empiricamente estimando un modelo probit de cambio de habitos de salir a comer o al cine, utilizando los resultados de una encuesta sobre victimizacion aplicada en las areas metropolitanas de Monterrey, Guadalajara y Leon en 2009. Se encuentran como determinantes significativos del cambio en las salidas a comer o al cine: los niveles de miedo al crimen en la colonia y en el area metropolitana, la escolaridad, la edad y el genero. Asi tambien, se identifican como determinantes del miedo al crimen, la victimizacion previa y la confianza en la policia.

Suggested Citation

  • Edgardo Arturo Ayala Gaytan & Joana Cecilia Chapa Cantu, 2012. "La inseguridad y la demanda por entretenimiento: evidencia para las areas metropolitanas de Monterrey, Guadalajara y Leon," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 9(1), pages 135-148, Enero-Jun.
    • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:9:y:2012:i:1:p:135-148
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    miedo al crimen; entretenimiento; modelo de eleccion cualitativa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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