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Current Account Deficits in the Transition Economies

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  • Mark J. Holmes
Abstract
This study tests for the stationarity and sustainability of current account deficits for ten transition economies. For this purpose, a new test is employed that allows one to test for unit roots in heterogeneous panel datasets. While the benefits from creating a panel to overcome low test power are well known, this test also offers key advantages over existing alternative panel data unit root tests: it is able to identify which members within the panel are responsible for rejecting the null hypothesis of joint non-stationarity. In addition, the SURADF test does not presume disturbances that are independently and identically distributed. Using data covering 1993 - 2001, this study finds strong evidence in favour of current account mean-reversion for six countries. Of the six countries in the sample that joined the European Union in May 2004, non-stationarity was confirmed in the case of Lithuania only.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark J. Holmes, 2004. "Current Account Deficits in the Transition Economies," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2004(4), pages 347-358.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2004:y:2004:i:4:id:247:p:347-358
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.247
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    Cited by:

    1. Miomir Jakšiæ & Nikola Fabris & Milutin Ješiæ, 2018. "Intertemporal current account sustainability in the presence of structural breaks," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 36(2), pages 413-442.
    2. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2019. "The current account sustainability in Central and Eastern Europe: Has it changed?," Working Papers 2019/10, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    3. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Paulo José Regis, 2015. "The Sustainability of European External Debt: What have We Learned?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 445-468, August.
    4. Hwa-Taek Lee & Gawon Yoon, 2013. "Does purchasing power parity hold sometimes? Regime switching in real exchange rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(16), pages 2279-2294, June.
    5. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Mercedes Monfort, 2021. "Current account sustainability in Central and Eastern Europe: structural change and crisis," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(1), pages 141-153, February.
    6. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2012. "A Note on the Current Account Sustainability of European Transition Economies," Working Papers 2012011, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
    7. Olufemi G. Onatunji, 2023. "Sustainability of current account deficits in Nigeria: evidence from the asymmetric NARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(10), pages 1-22, October.
    8. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Paolo Jose Regis, 2014. "On the changes in the sustainability of European external debt: what have we learned," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2014-3, Bank of Estonia, revised 10 Oct 2014.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    transition economies; panel data; current account; unit root;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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