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Reputation Concerns in Risky Experimentation
[Reputation and Survival: Learning in a Dynamic Signalling Model]

Author

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  • Chia-Hui Chen
  • Junichiro Ishida
  • Wing Suen
Abstract
High-ability agents are more likely to achieve early success in risky experimentation, but learn faster that their project is not promising. These counteracting effects give rise to a signaling model with double-crossing property. This property tends to induce homogenization of quitting times between types, which in turn leads to some pooling in equilibrium. Low-ability agents may hold out to continue their project for the prospect of pooling with the high type, despite having a negative instantaneous net payoff. A war-of-attrition mechanism causes low-ability agents to quit only gradually over time, and to stop quitting for a period immediately before all agents exit.

Suggested Citation

  • Chia-Hui Chen & Junichiro Ishida & Wing Suen, 2021. "Reputation Concerns in Risky Experimentation [Reputation and Survival: Learning in a Dynamic Signalling Model]," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 1981-2021.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jeurec:v:19:y:2021:i:4:p:1981-2021.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jeea/jvaa046
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    Cited by:

    1. Tomás Rodríguez Barraquer & Xu Tan, 2023. "A model of competitive signaling with rich message spaces," Review of Economic Design, Springer;Society for Economic Design, vol. 27(1), pages 1-43, February.
    2. Chen, Chia-Hui & Ishida, Junichiro & Suen, Wing, 2024. "Signaling under double-crossing preferences: The case of discrete types," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    3. Kaustav Das & Nicolas Klein, 2024. "Do Stronger Patents Lead To Faster Innovation? The Effect Of Clustered Search," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(2), pages 915-954, May.
    4. Chia-Hui Chen & Junichiro Ishida & Wing Suen, 2020. "Signaling under Double-Crossing Preferences," ISER Discussion Paper 1103, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    5. Chia‐Hui Chen & Junichiro Ishida & Wing Suen, 2022. "Signaling Under Double‐Crossing Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(3), pages 1225-1260, May.
    6. Chia-Hui Chen & Junichiro Ishida & Wing Suen, 2020. "Signaling under Double-Crossing Preferences," ISER Discussion Paper 1103r, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University, revised Dec 2020.

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