[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/postke/v32y2010i4p559-566.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Keynes's uncertainty is not about white or black swans

Author

Listed:
  • Andrea Terzi
Abstract
How does Nassim Taleb's notion of uncertainty compare with Keynes's? In describing "black swan events" as rare, consequential, unforecastable events, Taleb has stressed how statistical risk differs from intractable uncertainty. This difference had been similarly underscored by Keynes in his theory of behavior in a monetary economy. Yet beyond this apparent similarity, Taleb's and Keynes's views of uncertainty are opposite with respect to both method and consequences. This paper claims that even Taleb's black swan argument may face its own "black swan" when it is found that his conclusions do not hold under the more extreme assumption of ontological uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Terzi, 2010. "Keynes's uncertainty is not about white or black swans," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 559-566, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:32:y:2010:i:4:p:559-566
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://mesharpe.metapress.com/link.asp?target=contribution&id=B1573M4306206417
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Katharina Glass & Ulrich Fritsche, 2015. "Real-time Macroeconomic Data and Uncertainty," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201406, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    2. Stefan Voss, 2012. "When Keynes and Minsky meet Mandelbrot . . ," Chapters, in: Jesper Jespersen & Mogens Ove Madsen (ed.), Keynes’s General Theory for Today, chapter 7, pages 113-130, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Özgür Orhangazi, 2011. "“Financial” vs. “Real”: An Overview of the Contradictory Role of Finance," Research in Political Economy, in: Revitalizing Marxist Theory for Today's Capitalism, pages 121-148, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    4. Richard Senner & Didier Sornette, 2019. "The Holy Grail of Crypto Currencies: Ready to Replace Fiat Money?," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(4), pages 966-1000, October.
    5. Ricardo Crespo & Daniel Heymann & Pablo Schiaffino, 2015. "Dealing with uncertainty evolving beliefs, rationalizations & the origins of economic crises," Documentos de trabajo del Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET) 2015-8, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:32:y:2010:i:4:p:559-566. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MPKE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.