[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ire/issued/v14n022011p159-183.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On the Turnaround of Vacancy Stocks: The Stock Flow Model for the German Residential Rental Market

Author

Listed:
  • Oliver Bischoff

    (Department of Economics, University of Hamburg, Von-Melle-Park 5, 20146 Hamburg, Germany)

Abstract
We apply the stock flow model for the German residential rental market using a data set that includes the overwhelming majority of nomenclature of territorial units for statistics (NUTS) 3 regions for the 2004-2007 period. Aside from proving conditional rental price convergence, we have detected a turnaround in vacancy stocks between the short and the long term. While East German counties and West German independent cities currently exhibit the highest and lowest vacancy rates, respectively, the opposite holds true at equilibrium. Leaning on theoretical suggestions, landlords in well-developed areas have incentives to hold onto vacancies in view of future rent increases. Our results support this idea, which demonstrates the significantly positive impact of household income and net birth rate on the natural vacancy rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Bischoff, 2011. "On the Turnaround of Vacancy Stocks: The Stock Flow Model for the German Residential Rental Market," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 14(2), pages 159-183.
    • Handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:14:n:02:2011:p:159-183
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.gssinst.org/irer/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/vol14no2-on-the-turnaround-of-vacancy-stocks.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sala-i-Martin, Xavier X, 1996. "The Classical Approach to Convergence Analysis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(437), pages 1019-1036, July.
    2. Reinhold Kosfeld & Hans-Friedrich Eckey & Christian Dreger, 2006. "Regional productivity and income convergence in the unified Germany, 1992-2000," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(7), pages 755-767.
    3. Dohse, Dirk & Krieger-Boden, Christiane & Sander, Birgit & Soltwedel, Rüdiger, 2002. "Vom Mangel zum Überfluss - der ostdeutsche Wohnungsmarkt in der Subventionsfalle," Kiel Discussion Papers 395, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    4. Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola & Izem, Rima, 2012. "Explaining the low labor productivity in East Germany – A spatial analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 1-21.
    5. Li Gan & Qinghua Zhang, 2006. "The Thick Market Effect on Housing Markets Transactions," NBER Working Papers 12134, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Heineck, Guido & Süssmuth, Bernd, 2013. "A different look at Lenin’s legacy: Social capital and risk taking in the Two Germanies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 789-803.
    2. Erich Gundlach, 2003. "Growth Effects of EU Membership: The Case of East Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 30(3), pages 237-270, September.
    3. Oliver Falck & Michael Fritsch & Stephan Heblich & Anne Otto, 2018. "Music in the air: estimating the social return to cultural amenities," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 42(3), pages 365-391, August.
    4. Patel, Dev & Sandefur, Justin & Subramanian, Arvind, 2021. "The new era of unconditional convergence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    5. Catherine Fuss, 1999. "Mesures et tests de convergence : une revue de la littérature," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 69(1), pages 221-249.
    6. Valérie Mignon & Christophe Hurlin, 2007. "Une synthèse des tests de cointégration sur données de panel," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 180(4), pages 241-265.
    7. Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Laura Márquez-Ramos, 2005. "Does Technology Foster Trade? Empirical Evidence for Developed and Developing Countries," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 33(1), pages 55-69, March.
    8. Narmin Mammadova, 2014. "The Stochastic Futures of the Natural Gas Prices: Russian Federation in Caspian Region," Econometrics Letters, Bilimsel Mektuplar Organizasyonu (Scientific letters), vol. 1(2), pages 8-16.
    9. Francesco Savoia & Ioannis Bournakis & Mona Said & Antonio Savoia, 2024. "Regional income inequality in Egypt: evolution and implications for Sustainable Development Goal 10," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(1), pages 17-33, January.
    10. Utpal Kumar De, 2014. "Globalisation and cointegration among the states and convergence across the continents: A panel data analysis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 107-121.
    11. Jose Villaverde, 2005. "Provincial convergence in Spain: a spatial econometric approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(11), pages 697-700.
    12. Yao, Shujie & Wei, Kailei, 2007. "Economic growth in the presence of FDI: The perspective of newly industrialising economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 211-234, March.
    13. Shujie Yao & Zongyi Zhang, 2003. "Openness and Economic Performance: A Comparative Study of China and the Asian NIEs," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 71-95.
    14. Monica Laura Zlati & Romeo Victor Ionescu & Valentin Marian Antohi & Veronica Grosu, 2022. "Growth and integration's impact under a new dynamic approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(5), pages 7057-7092, May.
    15. Bernd Aumann & Rolf Scheufele, 2010. "Is East Germany catching up? A time series perspective," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 177-192.
    16. Diana Gutiérrez Posada & Fernando Rubiera Morollón & Ana Viñuela, 2018. "Ageing Places in an Ageing Country: The Local Dynamics of the Elderly Population in Spain," Tijdschrift voor Economische en Sociale Geografie, Royal Dutch Geographical Society KNAG, vol. 109(3), pages 332-349, July.
    17. Steven N. Durlauf & Andros Kourtellos & Chih Ming Tan, 2008. "Empirics of Growth and Development," Chapters, in: Amitava Krishna Dutt & Jaime Ros (ed.), International Handbook of Development Economics, Volumes 1 & 2, volume 0, chapter 3, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    18. Danny Quah, 1996. "Twin Peaks: Growth and Convergence in Models of Distribution Dynamics," CEP Discussion Papers dp0280, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    19. Anil Markandya & Suzette Pedroso & Dalia Streimikiene, 2004. "Energy Efficiency in Transition Economies: Is There Convergence Towards the EU Average?," Working Papers 2004.89, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    20. Delgado Narro, Augusto Ricardo, 2020. "The Process of Convergence among the Japanese Prefectures: 1955 - 2012," MPRA Paper 100361, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rental Market; Adjustment Process; Natural Vacancy Rate; Regional Analysis; Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:14:n:02:2011:p:159-183. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: IRER Graduate Assistant/Webmaster (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.gssinst.org/gssinst/index.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.