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Short-Selling Attacks and Creditor Runs

Author

Listed:
  • Xuewen Liu

    (Department of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong)

Abstract
This paper investigates the mechanism through which short selling of a bank's stocks can trigger the failure of the bank. In the model, creditors, who learn information from stock prices, will grow increasingly unsure about the bank's true fundamentals in facing noisier stock prices; thus a run on the bank is more likely because of creditors' concave payoff. Understanding this, speculators conduct short selling beforehand to amplify (il)liquidity and add noise to stock prices, triggering a bank run, and subsequently profit from the bank's failure. We show that short-selling attacks on a bank involve two runs: the aggressive run among speculators and the conservative run among creditors. These two runs interact and reinforce each other, with compound feedback loops that drastically increase the probability of the collapse of the bank. We discuss policy implications of the model. This paper was accepted by Wei Jiang, finance.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuewen Liu, 2015. "Short-Selling Attacks and Creditor Runs," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(4), pages 814-830, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:61:y:2015:i:4:p:814-830
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2014.1997
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Bloomfield, Matthew J. & Heinle, Mirko & Timmermans, Oscar, 2024. "Relative performance evaluation and strategic peer-harming disclosures," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122509, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Bui, Dien Giau & Hasan, Iftekhar & Lin, Chih-Yung & Nguyen, Hong Thoa, 2023. "Short-selling threats and bank risk-taking: Evidence from the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    4. Óscar Arce & Sergio Mayordomo, 2016. "The Impact of the 2011 Short†Sale Ban on Financial Stability: Evidence from the Spanish Stock Market," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(5), pages 1001-1022, November.
    5. Luu, Ellie & Xu, Fangming & Zheng, Liyi, 2023. "Short-selling activities in the time of COVID-19," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(4).
    6. Jing Chen & David G. McMillan & Mike Buckle, 2018. "Information Transmission across European Equity Markets During Crisis Periods," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(6), pages 770-788, December.
    7. Fohlin, Caroline & Lu, Zhikun & Zhou, Nan, 2022. "Short sale bans may improve market quality during crises: New evidence from the 2020 Covid," SAFE Working Paper Series 365, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    8. Itay Goldstein, 2023. "Information in Financial Markets and Its Real Effects," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 1-32.
    9. Bostan, Ibrahim & Lin, Ji-Chai & Mian, G. Mujtaba, 2024. "Do firms manage their share prices to mitigate investor short-termism?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    10. Lei Shi & Yajun Xiao, 2021. "Dynamic Asset Pricing with Interactions between Short-Sale and Borrowing Constraints [Multiplicity in general financial equilibrium with portfolio constraints]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(4), pages 886-923.

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