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Dynamics Between Exchange Rates And Stock Prices: Evidence From Developed And Emerging Markets

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  • Van-Hop Nguyen
Abstract
This study examines the long- and short-run dynamics between exchange rates and stock prices by using cointegration methodology and multivariate Granger causality tests. We apply the analysis to six countries, including: Japan, United Kingdom, Hong Kong, China, India and Brazil over the period December 2007 to May 2013. The evidence suggests that the global financial crisis 2007-2009 is an important determinant of the link between the domestic stock and foreign exchange markets. The exchange rate is negatively related to the domestic stock market for emerging countries but positively for developed countries for entire sample and during the crisis. However, this relationship became positive for all countries after the crisis, except United Kingdom. The finding also indicates that the exchange rate movements contain some significant information to forecast the stock returns of these markets

Suggested Citation

  • Van-Hop Nguyen, 2019. "Dynamics Between Exchange Rates And Stock Prices: Evidence From Developed And Emerging Markets," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 13(1), pages 73-84.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibf:ijbfre:v:13:y:2019:i:1:p:73-84
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Shada Almuwallad, 0000. "Exploring the Dynamics: Granger Causality Between Macroeconomic Variables and Sectoral Stock Prices Before and After the 2008 Financial Crisis: Evidence From The FTSE All-Share Index," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 14416316, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    2. Tshikalange, Mulanga & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2023. "The determinants of the dynamic correlation between foreign exchange and equity markets: Cross-Country comparisons," MPRA Paper 118401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Sokhanvar, Amin & Çiftçioğlu, Serhan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "Comparative analysis of the exchange rates-stock returns nexus in commodity-exporters and -importers before and during the war in Ukraine," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock Price; Exchange Rate; Global Financial Crisis; Multivariate Granger Causality Tests;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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