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Regional Determinants of Fertility Growth in Russia: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach

Author

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  • Iwasaki, Ichiro
  • Kumo, Kazuhiro
Abstract
The present study empirically examines the determinants of the fertility rate in Russia using a panel data of the federal entities from 2005 to 2015. The estimation results of a system GMM dynamic panel data model indicate that economic growth, potential employment opportunities, favorable management conditions of local businesses, opportunities for higher education, and quality of regional social capital and housing are positively correlated to its total fertility rate while the presence of Slavic races, immigration inflow, poverty, and environment risks negatively impact fertility. The study also found that the combination of factors that strongly affect the fertility rate significantly vary between different age groups and districts, which suggests an additional focus on the intergenerational and interregional heterogeneity to implement political measures is needed to counteract the population crisis in Russia.

Suggested Citation

  • Iwasaki, Ichiro & Kumo, Kazuhiro, 2019. "Regional Determinants of Fertility Growth in Russia: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," Economic Review, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 70(1), pages 30-53, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:ecorev:v:70:y:2019:i:1:p:30-53
    DOI: 10.15057/29779
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Iwasaki, Ichiro & 岩﨑, 一郎 & Kumo, Kazuhiro & 雲, 和広, 2020. "Regional Determinants of Marriage Rates in Russia: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," RRC Working Paper Series 85, Russian Research Center, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    2. KOMATSU Sho & MA Xinxin & SUZUKI Aya, 2022. "Influence of E-commerce on Birth Rate: Evidence from rural China based on county-level longitudinal data," Discussion papers 22101, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • P25 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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