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Application of the Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Modeling to Forecast Energy Efficiency in Real Buildings Undergoing Thermal Improvement

Author

Listed:
  • Tomasz Szul

    (Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture, Krakow, 30-149 Kraków, Poland)

  • Krzysztof Nęcka

    (Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture, Krakow, 30-149 Kraków, Poland)

  • Stanisław Lis

    (Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture, Krakow, 30-149 Kraków, Poland)

Abstract
Energy efficiency in the building industry is related to the amount of energy that can be saved through thermal improvement. Therefore, it is important to determine the energy saving potential of the buildings to be thermally upgraded in order to check whether the set targets for the amount of energy saved will be reached after the implementation of corrective measures. In real residential buildings, when starting to make energy calculations, one can often encounter the problem of incomplete architectural documentation and inaccurate data characterizing the object in terms of thermal (thermal resistance of partitions) and usable (number of inhabitants). Therefore, there is a need to search for methods that will be suitable for quick technical analysis of measures taken to improve energy efficiency in existing buildings. The aim of this work was to test the usefulness of the type Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy models of inference model for predicting the energy efficiency of actual residential buildings that have undergone thermal improvement. For the group of 109 buildings a specific set of important variables characterizing the examined objects was identified. The quality of the prediction models developed for various combinations of input variables has been evaluated using, among other things, statistical calibration standards developed by the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE). The obtained results were compared with other prediction models (based on the same input data sets) using artificial neural networks and rough sets theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz Szul & Krzysztof Nęcka & Stanisław Lis, 2021. "Application of the Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Modeling to Forecast Energy Efficiency in Real Buildings Undergoing Thermal Improvement," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:7:p:1920-:d:527096
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Yildiz, B. & Bilbao, J.I. & Sproul, A.B., 2017. "A review and analysis of regression and machine learning models on commercial building electricity load forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1104-1122.
    10. Tomasz Szul & Krzysztof Nęcka & Thomas G. Mathia, 2020. "Neural Methods Comparison for Prediction of Heating Energy Based on Few Hundreds Enhanced Buildings in Four Season’s Climate," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-17, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Joanna Piotrowska-Woroniak & Tomasz Szul & Krzysztof Cieśliński & Jozef Krilek, 2022. "The Impact of Weather-Forecast-Based Regulation on Energy Savings for Heating in Multi-Family Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-30, October.
    2. Minglu Ma & Qiang Wang, 2022. "Assessment and Forecast of Green Total Factor Energy Efficiency in the Yellow River Basin—A Perspective Distinguishing the Upper, Middle and Lower Stream," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-23, February.
    3. Seif Khiati & Rafik Belarbi & Ammar Yahia, 2023. "Sustainable Buildings: A Choice, or a Must for Our Future?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-5, March.
    4. Roman V. Klyuev & Irbek D. Morgoev & Angelika D. Morgoeva & Oksana A. Gavrina & Nikita V. Martyushev & Egor A. Efremenkov & Qi Mengxu, 2022. "Methods of Forecasting Electric Energy Consumption: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-33, November.
    5. Batyr Orazbayev & Ainur Zhumadillayeva & Kulman Orazbayeva & Sandugash Iskakova & Balbupe Utenova & Farit Gazizov & Svetlana Ilyashenko & Olga Afanaseva, 2022. "The System of Models and Optimization of Operating Modes of a Catalytic Reforming Unit Using Initial Fuzzy Information," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-25, February.
    6. Joanna Piotrowska-Woroniak & Tomasz Szul, 2022. "Application of a Model Based on Rough Set Theory (RST) to Estimate the Energy Efficiency of Public Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-13, November.

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