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Impact of fossil fuel prices on electricity prices in Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Bruno Bernal
  • Juan Carlos Molero
  • Fernando Perez De Gracia
Abstract
Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of fossil fuel prices – crude oil, natural gas and coal – on different electricity prices in Mexico. The use of alternative variables for electricity price helps to increase the robustness of the analysis in comparison to previous empirical studies. Design/methodology/approach - The authors use an unrestricted vector autoregressive model and the sample covers the period January 2006 to January 2016. Findings - Empirical findings suggest that crude oil, natural gas and coal prices have a significant positive impact on electricity prices – domestic electricity rates – in Mexico in the short run. Furthermore, crude oil and natural gas prices have also a significant positive impact on electricity prices – commercial and industrial electricity rates. Originality/value - Two are the main contributions. First, this paper explores the nexus among crude oil, natural gas, coal and electricity prices in Mexico, while previous studies focus on the US, UK and some European economies. Second, instead of using one electricity price as a reference of national or domestic electricity sector, the analysis considers alternative Mexican electricity prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruno Bernal & Juan Carlos Molero & Fernando Perez De Gracia, 2019. "Impact of fossil fuel prices on electricity prices in Mexico," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(2), pages 356-371, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:jespps:jes-07-2017-0198
    DOI: 10.1108/JES-07-2017-0198
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Yasir Alsaedi & Gurudeo Anand Tularam & Victor Wong, 2020. "Assessing the Effects of Solar and Wind Prices on the Australia Electricity Spot and Options Markets Using a Vector Autoregression Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 120-133.
    2. Suresh Kumar & Ankit Kumar & Gurcharan Singh, 2023. "Causal relationship among international crude oil, gold, exchange rate, and stock market: Fresh evidence from NARDL testing approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 47-57, January.
    3. Kaur, Charanjit & Siddiki, Jalal & Singh, Prakash, 2024. "The asymmetric impact of input prices, the Russia-Ukraine war and domestic policy changes on wholesale electricity prices in India: A quantile autoregressive distributed lag analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    4. Luo, Keyu & Ye, Yong, 2024. "How responsive are retail electricity prices to crude oil fluctuations in the US? Time-varying and asymmetric perspectives," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    5. Mohammad Althaqafi, 2023. "The Impact of Natural Gas Prices on Electricity Tariffs in the UK," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 86-91, March.
    6. Alola, Andrew Adewale & Özkan, Oktay & Usman, Ojonugwa, 2023. "Examining crude oil price outlook amidst substitute energy price and household energy expenditure in the USA: A novel nonparametric multivariate QQR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    7. Yasir Alsaedi & Gurudeo Anand Tularam & Victor Wong, 2020. "Impact of Solar and Wind Prices on the Integrated Global Electricity Spot and Options Markets: A Time Series Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 337-353.
    8. Stringer, Thomas & Joanis, Marcelin & Abdoli, Shiva, 2024. "Power generation mix and electricity price," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    9. Ateeque Anwer, 2024. "How Oil Price Shocks Influence on Inflation Rate? Evidence from Malaysian Economy," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 13(2), pages 350-356.
    10. Juan Manuel Candelo-Viafara & Andres Oviedo-Gomez & Maria Del Pilar Rivera-Diaz, 2023. "Exploring the Effects of Oil and Gas Prices on Industrial Production in Colombia: A Quantile Regression Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(6), pages 364-369, November.
    11. Adela Bâra & Simona-Vasilica Oprea & Bogdan George Tudorică, 2024. "From the East-European Regional Day-Ahead Markets to a Global Electricity Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2525-2557, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mexico; Unrestricted VAR; Electricity prices; Coal prices; Crude oil prices; Natural gas prices; C32; Q40; Q41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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