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Secular stagnation and progressive economic policy alternatives

Author

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  • Özlem Onaran

    (University of Greenwich, London, UK)

Abstract
This paper summarizes two main findings in the post-Keynesian literature regarding the linkages between financialization, income distribution, accumulation and productivity. First, at the core of secular stagnation lies the missing link between profits and investment. Second, rising inequality and financialization have been the main reasons for this missing link and hence the major brakes against capital accumulation and growth. The paper concludes with alternative progressive policies based on a coordinated policy mix of equality-led development and public investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Özlem Onaran, 2016. "Secular stagnation and progressive economic policy alternatives," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 13(2), pages 229-240, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:elg:ejeepi:v:13:y:2016:i:2:p229-240
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    10. Onaran, Özlem, 2015. "State and the economy: a strategy for wage-led development," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 14075, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
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    14. Onaran, Özlem & Stockhammer, Engelbert, 2016. "Progressive policies for wage-led growth in Europe," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 15527, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
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    16. Onaran, Özlem & Guschanski, Alexander & Meadway, James & Martin, Alice, 2015. "Working for the economy: the economic case for trade unions [Policy Brief]," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 14102, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
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    21. Onaran, Özlem, 2014. "The case for a coordinated policy mix of wage-led recovery and public investment in the G20," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 15290, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    22. Daniele Tori & Özlem Onaran, 2018. "The effects of financialization on investment: evidence from firm-level data for the UK," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 42(5), pages 1393-1416.
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    24. C. Naastepad & Servaas Storm, 2006. "OECD demand regimes (1960-2000)," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 211-246.
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    26. Özlem Onaran & Valerie Boesch, 2014. "The Effect of Globalization on the Distribution of Taxes and Social Expenditures in Europe: Do Welfare State Regimes Matter?," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 46(2), pages 373-397, February.
    27. Rotta, Tomas N., 2015. "Productive stagnation and unproductive accumulation: an econometric analysis of the United States," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 14060, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    28. Özlem Onaran, 2016. "Wage- versus profit-led growth in the context of international interactions and public spending: The political aspects of wage-led recovery," Working Papers PKWP1603, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    29. Onaran, Özlem & Guschanski, Alexander & Meadway, James & Martin, Alice, 2015. "Working for the economy: the economic case for trade unions," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 14083, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    30. Mr. Jörg Decressin & Mr. Raphael A Espinoza & Mr. Ioannis Halikias & Mr. Michael Kumhof & Mr. Daniel Leigh & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Paulo A Medas & Susanna Mursula & Mr. Antonio Spilimbergo & Ms. , 2015. "Wage Moderation in Crises: Policy Considerations and Applications to the Euro Area," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2015/022, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tori, Daniele & Onaran, Özlem, 2018. "Financialisation, financial development, and investment: evidence from European non-financial corporations," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 22196, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    2. Nikolas Schiozer & Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Michel Alexandre, 2024. "Heterogeneity in pricing behavior in hybrid DSGE-ABM macrodynamics," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2024_26, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    3. Wang, Hanying & Qi, Ju & Li, Zhuohua & Sensoy, Ahmet & Xing, Hongwei, 2024. "Excessive financialization and “Original Sin Theory”: Redemption from corporate reputation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    4. Wang, Lixia & Hao, Neng & Fang, Hui & Wu, Maoguo & Ma, Xinlei, 2023. "A model for measuring over-financialization: Evidence from Chinese companies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    5. Eckhard Hein & Franz Prante & Alessandro Bramucci, 2023. "Demand and growth regimes in finance-dominated capitalism and a progressive equality-, sustainability- and domestic demand-led alternative: A post-Keynesian simulation approach," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 76(305), pages 181-202.
    6. Acocella, Nicola, 2021. "Stagnation," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 74(2), pages 121-140.
    7. Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Andre M. Marques, 2022. "Demand and Distribution in a Dynamic Spatial Panel Model for the United States: Evidence from State-Level Data," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2022_21, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), revised 05 Oct 2022.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    wage share; wage-led growth; globalization; public investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution

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