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Assessing the accessibility of petrochemical facilities during storm surge events

Author

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  • Bernier, Carl
  • Gidaris, Ioannis
  • Balomenos, Georgios P.
  • Padgett, Jamie E.
Abstract
Recent hurricane events have exposed the susceptibility of petrochemical facilities to severe transportation network disruptions due to flooding or storm surge. Network disruptions can result in cascading impacts or amplify the consequences of damage to petrochemical infrastructure due to delayed emergency response and limited access to the site. This study presents a scenario-based framework to assess the accessibility of petrochemical facilities by emergency responders and workers during storm surge events. First, the framework couples storm surge modeling with aboveground storage tank fragility models to determine the locations where natural hazard-triggered technological (NaTech) events could occur. Then, storm surge modeling is coupled with bridge fragility models and geographic system analysis to evaluate the potential for network disruptions such as bridge failures and road inundations. Finally, probabilistic network analyses are performed to evaluate the time-evolving accessibility of NaTech sites to emergency responders and facility workers. As a proof of concept, the framework is applied to a case study area. Results for the case study area demonstrate that the proposed framework is a powerful tool to quantify the accessibility of potential NaTech events, facilitate mitigation and emergency activities, and improve the management of critical resources and personnel during and after a storm.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernier, Carl & Gidaris, Ioannis & Balomenos, Georgios P. & Padgett, Jamie E., 2019. "Assessing the accessibility of petrochemical facilities during storm surge events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 155-167.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:188:y:2019:i:c:p:155-167
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.03.021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ana Cruz & Norio Okada, 2008. "Methodology for preliminary assessment of Natech risk in urban areas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(2), pages 199-220, August.
    2. Khakzad, Nima & Van Gelder, Pieter, 2018. "Vulnerability of industrial plants to flood-induced natechs: A Bayesian network approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 403-411.
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    4. Nicholas Santella & Laura J. Steinberg & Gloria Andrea Aguirra, 2011. "Empirical Estimation of the Conditional Probability of Natech Events Within the United States," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(6), pages 951-968, June.
    5. Adriana Galderisi & Andrea Ceudech & Massimiliano Pistucci, 2008. "A method for na-tech risk assessment as supporting tool for land use planning mitigation strategies," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(2), pages 221-241, August.
    6. Nicholas Santella & Laura J. Steinberg & Hatice Sengul, 2010. "Petroleum and Hazardous Material Releases from Industrial Facilities Associated with Hurricane Katrina," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(4), pages 635-649, April.
    7. Ana Cruz & Elisabeth Krausmann, 2013. "Vulnerability of the oil and gas sector to climate change and extreme weather events," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(1), pages 41-53, November.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Caratozzolo, Vincenzo & Misuri, Alessio & Cozzani, Valerio, 2022. "A generalized equipment vulnerability model for the quantitative risk assessment of horizontal vessels involved in Natech scenarios triggered by floods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    3. Ricci, Federica & Yang, Ming & Reniers, Genserik & Cozzani, Valerio, 2024. "Emergency response in cascading scenarios triggered by natural events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    4. Liu, Zhichen & Li, Ying & Zhang, Zhaoyi & Yu, Wenbo, 2022. "A new evacuation accessibility analysis approach based on spatial information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    5. Zhou, Jianfeng & Reniers, Genserik, 2022. "Petri-net based cooperation modeling and time analysis of emergency response in the context of domino effect prevention in process industries," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    6. Khakzad, Nima & Cozzani, Valerio, 2020. "Special issue: Quantitative assessment and risk management of Natech accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).

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