[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v609y2023ics0378437122009219.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymptotic properties of semiparametric M-estimators with multiple change points

Author

Listed:
  • Bouzebda, Salim
  • Ferfache, Anouar Abdeldjaoued
Abstract
Statistical models with multiple change points are used in many fields; however, the theoretical properties of semiparametric M-estimators of such models have received relatively little attention. The main purpose of the present work is to investigate the asymptotic properties of semiparametric M-estimators with non-smooth criterion functions of the parameters of a multiple change-point model for a general class of models in which the form of the distribution can change from segment to segment and in which, possibly, there are parameters that are common to all segments. Consistency of the semiparametric M-estimators of the change points is established and the rate of convergence is determined. The asymptotic normality of the semiparametric M-estimators of the parameters of the within-segment distributions is established under quite general conditions. These results, together with a generic paradigm for studying semiparametric M-estimators with multiple change points, provide a valuable extension to previous related research on (semi)parametric maximum-likelihood estimators. For illustration, the classification with missing data in the model is investigated in detail and a short simulation result is provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouzebda, Salim & Ferfache, Anouar Abdeldjaoued, 2023. "Asymptotic properties of semiparametric M-estimators with multiple change points," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:609:y:2023:i:c:s0378437122009219
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2022.128363
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437122009219
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2022.128363?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Aggarwal, Reena & Inclan, Carla & Leal, Ricardo, 1999. "Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(1), pages 33-55, March.
    2. Alexander Aue & Lajos Horváth, 2013. "Structural breaks in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 1-16, January.
    3. Salim Bouzebda & Issam Elhattab & Anouar Abdeldjaoued Ferfache, 2022. "General M-Estimator Processes and their m out of n Bootstrap with Functional Nuisance Parameters," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 2961-3005, December.
    4. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    5. Lavielle, Marc, 1999. "Detection of multiple changes in a sequence of dependent variables," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 79-102, September.
    6. Laurent Delsol & Ingrid Van Keilegom, 2020. "Semiparametric M-estimation with non-smooth criterion functions," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 72(2), pages 577-605, April.
    7. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 2003. "Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 1-22.
    8. Lajos Horváth & Gregory Rice, 2014. "Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 219-255, June.
    9. Pergamenchtchikov, Serguei & Tartakovsky, Alexander G., 2019. "Asymptotically optimal pointwise and minimax change-point detection for general stochastic models with a composite post-change hypothesis," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    10. Pakes, Ariel & Pollard, David, 1989. "Simulation and the Asymptotics of Optimization Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(5), pages 1027-1057, September.
    11. Delsol, Laurent & Escanciano, Juan Carlos & Van Keilegom, Ingrid, 2020. "Semiparametric M-estimation with non-smooth criterion functions," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2020045, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    12. Haipeng Xing & Zhiliang Ying, 2012. "A Semiparametric Change-Point Regression Model for Longitudinal Observations," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(500), pages 1625-1637, December.
    13. Venkata Jandhyala & Stergios Fotopoulos & Ian MacNeill & Pengyu Liu, 2013. "Inference for single and multiple change-points in time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 423-446, July.
    14. Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2014. "Wild binary segmentation for multiple change-point detection," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57146, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Lajos Horváth & Gregory Rice, 2014. "Rejoinder on: Extensions of some classical methods in change point analysis," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(2), pages 287-290, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kleiber, Christian, 2016. "Structural Change in (Economic) Time Series," Working papers 2016/06, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    2. Cho, Haeran & Kirch, Claudia, 2024. "Data segmentation algorithms: Univariate mean change and beyond," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 76-95.
    3. Horváth, Lajos & Rice, Gregory & Zhao, Yuqian, 2023. "Testing for changes in linear models using weighted residuals," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    4. Stergios B. Fotopoulos & Abhishek Kaul & Vasileios Pavlopoulos & Venkata K. Jandhyala, 2024. "Adaptive parametric change point inference under covariance structure changes," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2887-2913, July.
    5. Lajos Horváth & Zhenya Liu & Curtis Miller & Weiqing Tang, 2024. "Breaks in term structures: Evidence from the oil futures markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2317-2341, April.
    6. Jiang, Feiyu & Wang, Runmin & Shao, Xiaofeng, 2023. "Robust inference for change points in high dimension," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    7. Claudia Kirch & Christina Stoehr, 2022. "Sequential change point tests based on U‐statistics," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(3), pages 1184-1214, September.
    8. Marco Barassi & Lajos Horváth & Yuqian Zhao, 2020. "Change‐Point Detection in the Conditional Correlation Structure of Multivariate Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 340-349, April.
    9. Zifeng Zhao & Feiyu Jiang & Xiaofeng Shao, 2022. "Segmenting time series via self‐normalisation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(5), pages 1699-1725, November.
    10. Shi, Xuesheng & Gallagher, Colin & Lund, Robert & Killick, Rebecca, 2022. "A comparison of single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    11. Lijing Ma & Andrew J. Grant & Georgy Sofronov, 2020. "Multiple change point detection and validation in autoregressive time series data," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1507-1528, August.
    12. Pedro Galeano & Dominik Wied, 2017. "Dating multiple change points in the correlation matrix," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 26(2), pages 331-352, June.
    13. Pouliot, William, 2016. "Robust tests for change in intercept and slope in linear regression models with application to manager performance in the mutual fund industry," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 523-534.
    14. Altaf Muhammad & Zhang Shuguang, 2015. "Impact Of Structural Shifts on Variance Persistence in Asymmetric Garch Models: Evidence From Emerging Asian and European Markets," Romanian Statistical Review, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 63(1), pages 57-70, March.
    15. Bill Russell & Dooruj Rambaccussing, 2019. "Breaks and the statistical process of inflation: the case of estimating the ‘modern’ long-run Phillips curve," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 1455-1475, May.
    16. Salim Bouzebda & Issam Elhattab & Anouar Abdeldjaoued Ferfache, 2022. "General M-Estimator Processes and their m out of n Bootstrap with Functional Nuisance Parameters," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 2961-3005, December.
    17. Daniela Jarušková, 2015. "Detecting non-simultaneous changes in means of vectors," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(4), pages 681-700, December.
    18. Michael Messer, 2022. "Bivariate change point detection: Joint detection of changes in expectation and variance," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(2), pages 886-916, June.
    19. Qian, Yu & Xu, Zeshui & Qin, Yong & Gou, Xunjie & Skare, Marinko, 2023. "Measuring the varying relationships between sustainable development and oil booms in different contexts: An empirical study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    20. Davis, Richard A. & Hancock, Stacey A. & Yao, Yi-Ching, 2016. "On consistency of minimum description length model selection for piecewise autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 360-368.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:609:y:2023:i:c:s0378437122009219. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.