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Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement

Author

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  • Felbermayr, Gabriel
  • Kimura, Fukunari
  • Okubo, Toshihiro
  • Steininger, Marina
Abstract
This paper provides a quantitative analysis of the new EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA), the biggest bilateral deal that both the EU and Japan have concluded so far. It employs a generalized variant of the Eaton–Kortum (2002) model, featuring multiple sectors, input-output linkages, services trade, and non-tariff barriers (NTBs). It uses the results of an econometric ex post analysis of a related existing FTA, the one between the EU and Korea, to approximate the expected reductions in the costs of NTBs. This approach yields long-run welfare effects for Japan of about 18 bn USD per year (0.31% of GDP) and of about 15 bn USD (0.10%) for the EU. On average, the agreement does not appear to harm third countries. 14% of the welfare gains inside the EPA stem from tariffs, the remaining 86% from NTB reform, and the services sector account for more than half. In the EU, value added in the agri-food sector goes up most, while in Japan the manufacturing and services sectors gain.

Suggested Citation

  • Felbermayr, Gabriel & Kimura, Fukunari & Okubo, Toshihiro & Steininger, Marina, 2019. "Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 110-128.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:51:y:2019:i:c:p:110-128
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2018.12.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Hosoe, Nobuhiro & Akune, Yuko, 2020. "Can the Japanese agri-food producers survive under freer trade? A general equilibrium analysis with farm heterogeneity and product differentiation," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    2. Gabriel Felbermayr & Toshihiro Okubo, 2022. "Individual preferences on trade liberalization: evidence from a Japanese household survey," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(1), pages 305-330, February.
    3. repec:wsr:ecbook:2020:i:vii-004 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Nobuhiro Hosoe & Yuko Akune, 2019. "Can the Japanese Agri-food Sectors Survive by Promoting their Exports?:A General Equilibrium Analysis with Farm Heterogeneity and Product Differentiation," GRIPS Discussion Papers 19-06, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies.
    5. Okubo, Toshihiro, 2021. "Public preferences on immigration in Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Yi, Chae-Deug, 2020. "The computable general equilibrium analysis of the reduction in tariffs and non-tariff measures within the Korea-Japan-European Union free trade agreement," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Julia Grübler & Oliver Reiter & Robert Stehrer, 2021. "On the new gold standard in EU trade integration: reviewing the EU-Japan EPA," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(3), pages 611-644, August.
    8. Rodolfo Campos & Marta Suárez-Varela & Jacopo Timini, 2022. "The EU-MERCOSUR trade agreement and its impact on CO2 emissions," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 1/2022.
    9. Biyik, Onur, 2020. "Winner and Loser in Terms of the FTAs and the Trade War: Case Study of the Japanese Market. Examination of the GTAP10 Database," Conference papers 333233, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Julia Grübler & Oliver Reiter, 2020. "Greater than the sum of its parts? Does Austria profit from a widening network of EU free trade agreements?," FIW Research Reports series VII-004, FIW.
    11. Hosoe, Nobuhiro & Akune, Yuko, 2019. "Impact of Trade Liberalization on the Japanese Agri-food Sectors: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Farm Heterogeneity and Product Differentiation," Conference papers 333025, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    12. Julia Grübler & Oliver Reiter, 2020. "Greater than the Sum of its Parts? How does Austria Profit from a Widening Network of EU Free Trade Agreements?," wiiw Working Papers 186, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    13. Timo Walter, 2022. "Trade and welfare effects of a potential free trade agreement between Japan and the United States," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(4), pages 1199-1230, November.
    14. Marina Steininger, 2019. "Quantifcation of the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 20(02), pages 26-28, July.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • N74 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - Europe: 1913-

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