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Global value chain participation and current account imbalances

Author

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  • Brumm, Johannes
  • Georgiadis, Georgios
  • Gräb, Johannes
  • Trottner, Fabian
Abstract
This paper draws a causal link between increased levels of global value chain participation (GVCP) and increases in a country’s current account. We document empirically that stronger GVCP is associated with larger current account balances. According to our estimates, cross-country differences in GVCP reduce the hitherto unexplained part of current account imbalances substantially for some countries. For example, for the United States and Japan the unexplained part of the current account falls by 75% and 50% over the sample period when controlling for their GVCP relative to the rest of the world; for Germany, the unexplained part of the current account deficit falls by an average of 10%.

Suggested Citation

  • Brumm, Johannes & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gräb, Johannes & Trottner, Fabian, 2019. "Global value chain participation and current account imbalances," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 111-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:97:y:2019:i:c:p:111-124
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.01.018
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    Cited by:

    1. Wannaphong Durongkaveroj, 2022. "Employment effects of joining global production networks: Does domestic value added matter?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1269-1285, August.
    2. Hadrien Camatte & Guillaume Daudin & Violaine Faubert & Antoine Lalliard & Christine Rifflart, 2021. "Global value chains and the transmission of exchange rate shocks to consumer prices," Working Papers hal-03374355, HAL.
    3. Antonia Lopez Villavicencio & Valérie Mignon, 2018. "Do global value chains amplify global imbalances?," EconomiX Working Papers 2018-38, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    4. Antonia López-Villavicencio & Valérie Mignon, 2021. "Does backward participation in global value chains affect countries’ current account position?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(1), pages 65-86, February.
    5. Beirne, John & Renzhi, Nuobu & Volz, Ulrich, 2021. "Persistent current account imbalances: Are they good or bad for regional and global growth?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    6. Antonia Lopez Villavicencio & Mariam Camarero & Cecilio Tamarit, 2021. "Macroeconomic effects of EU value chain participation," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-12, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    7. Duncan van Limbergen, 2020. "Revisiting the income balance. What makes EU tax havens different?," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Bridging measurement challenges and analytical needs of external statistics: evolution or revolution?, volume 52, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. Sariye Belgin Akcay, 2023. "Current Account Imbalances, House Prices, and Institutions," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 26(3), pages 343-392.
    9. Alberola, Enrique & Estrada, Ángel & Viani, Francesca, 2020. "Global imbalances from a stock perspective: The asymmetry between creditors and debtors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    10. Filiz Mızrak & Serhat Yüksel, 2019. "Significant Determiners of Greek Debt Crisis: A Comparative Analysis with Probit and MARS Approaches," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 8(3), pages 33-50, July.
    11. Koomen, Miriam & Wicht, Laurence, 2022. "Pension systems and the current account: An empirical exploration," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    12. Dr. Miriam Koomen & Dr. Laurence Wicht, 2020. "Demographics, pension systems, and the current account: an empirical assessment using the IMF current account model," Working Papers 2020-23, Swiss National Bank.
    13. Jane Haltmaier, 2015. "Have Global Value Chains Contributed to Global Imbalances?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1154, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Miriam Koomen & Laurence Wicht, 2023. "Demographics and Current Account Imbalances: Accounting for the Full Age Distribution," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(3), pages 719-758, September.
    15. Felice, Giulia & Tajoli, Lucia, 2021. "Trade balances and global value chains: Is there a link?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 228-246.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global value chain participation; Current account imbalances; EBA model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts

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