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Monetary policy announcements and market interest rates’ response: Evidence from China

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  • Sun, Rongrong
Abstract
This paper examines the daily responses of market interest rates to three monetary policy announcements in China using the event-study approach. I find that the interest rate responses to announced changes in the regulated retail interest rate and the required reserve ratio are positive and significant at all maturities of interest rates but smaller at the long end of the yield curve. By contrast, market interest rates barely respond to the qualitative MPC announcements about the monetary policy stance. These findings are robust to alternative econometric methods that correct for potential bias arising from violations of the identification assumption. These findings suggest that the PBC should formulate its policy communication in a quantitative way.

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  • Sun, Rongrong, 2020. "Monetary policy announcements and market interest rates’ response: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:113:y:2020:i:c:s0378426620300303
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105766
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    2. Chen, Hongyi & Tillmann, Peter, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    3. Klingelhöfer, Jan & Sun, Rongrong, 2019. "Macroprudential policy, central banks and financial stability: Evidence from China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 19-41.
    4. Lin, Jianhao & Mei, Ziwei & Chen, Liangyuan & Zhu, Chuanqi, 2023. "Is the People's Bank of China consistent in words and deeds?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Rongrong Sun, 2021. "Requiem for the interest rate controls in China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 139-160, May.
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    7. Makram El-Shagi & Lunan Jiang, 2023. "How the PBoC´s new MLF affects the yield curve," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2023/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
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    10. Jianhe Wang & Mengxing Cui & Lei Chang, 2023. "Evaluating economic recovery by measuring the COVID-19 spillover impact on business practices: evidence from Asian markets intermediaries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1629-1650, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transmission of monetary policy; Policy announcement effects; Event study; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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