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A CGE analysis for quantitative evaluation of electricity market changes

Author

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  • Hwang, Won-Sik
  • Lee, Jeong-Dong
Abstract
Risk and uncertainty entailed by electricity industry privatization impose a heavy burden on the political determination. In this sense, ex ante analyses are important in order to investigate the economic effects of privatization or liberalization in the electricity industry. For the purpose of fulfilling these quantitative analyses, a novel approach is developed, incorporating a top-down and bottom-up model that takes into account economic effects and technological constraints simultaneously. This study also examines various counterfactual scenarios after Korean electricity industry reform through the integrated framework. Simulation results imply that authorities should prepare an improved regulatory system and policy measures such as forward contracts for industry reform, in order to promote competition in the distribution sector as well as the generation sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Hwang, Won-Sik & Lee, Jeong-Dong, 2015. "A CGE analysis for quantitative evaluation of electricity market changes," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 69-81.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:83:y:2015:i:c:p:69-81
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2015.04.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Jieting Yin & Qingyou Yan & Kaijie Lei & Tomas Baležentis & Dalia Streimikiene, 2019. "Economic and Efficiency Analysis of China Electricity Market Reform Using Computable General Equilibrium Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    5. Chen, Hao & Yan, Haobo & Gong, Kai & Geng, Haopeng & Yuan, Xiao-Chen, 2022. "Assessing the business interruption costs from power outages in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    6. Dongnyok Shim & Seung Wan Kim & Jörn Altmann, 2018. "Strategic management of residential electric services in the competitive market: Demand-oriented perspective," Energy & Environment, , vol. 29(1), pages 49-66, February.
    7. Timilsina, Govinda R. & Pang, Jun & Yang, Xi, 2021. "Macroeconomic impacts of power sector reforms in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    8. Peng Ou & Ruting Huang & Xin Yao, 2016. "Economic Impacts of Power Shortage," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-21, July.
    9. Xin-gang, Zhao & Shuran, Hu & Hui, Wang & Haowei, Chen & Wenbin, Zhang & Wenjie, Lu, 2024. "Energy, economic, and environmental impacts of electricity market-oriented reform and the carbon emissions trading: A recursive dynamic CGE model in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    10. Kwang Il Kim, 2019. "Investigation of Japanese electricity industry using a CGE model of translog function," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 8(1), pages 1-18, December.

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