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Seasonality in the cross section of stock returns: Advanced markets versus emerging markets

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  • Li, Fengyun
  • Zhang, Huacheng
  • Zheng, Dazhi
Abstract
We extend the studies of stock return seasonality by Heston and Sadka (2008, 2010) to a comprehensive sample of 42 international markets, including 21 advanced markets and 21 emerging markets. The empirical results show a large variation in stock seasonality across markets and suggest that this phenomenon exists primarily in advanced markets. A winner–loser portfolio approach shows that return seasonality is economically significant in advanced markets but not in emerging markets. We conduct statistical, rational and behavioral analyses to explore the potential reasons for the seasonality observed in advanced markets and find that regression bias, the January effect, and the Fama–French–Carhart type risk premium all can partially explain this seasonality difference.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Fengyun & Zhang, Huacheng & Zheng, Dazhi, 2018. "Seasonality in the cross section of stock returns: Advanced markets versus emerging markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 263-281.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:empfin:v:49:y:2018:i:c:p:263-281
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2018.11.001
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    3. Badal Khan & Muhammad Aqil & Syed Hasnain Alam Kazmi & Syed Imran Zaman, 2023. "Day‐of‐the‐week effect and market liquidity: A comparative study from emerging stock markets of Asia†," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 544-561, January.
    4. Quanrui Song & Jianxu Liu & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2019. "Risk Measurement of Stock Markets in BRICS, G7, and G20: Vine Copulas versus Factor Copulas," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-16, March.
    5. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Angelini, Eliana, 2021. "Feverish sentiment and global equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1088-1108.
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    7. Chui, David & Wing Cheng, Wui & Chi Chow, Sheung & LI, Ya, 2020. "Eastern Halloween effect: A stochastic dominance approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; Market efficiency; Seasonality; International financial markets; Emerging market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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