[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/asieco/v31-32y2014ip22-31.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How much informal credit lending responded to monetary policy in China? The case of Wenzhou

Author

Listed:
  • Qin, Duo
  • Xu, Zhong
  • Zhang, Xuechun
Abstract
This study investigates empirically what the major factors are which have driven Wenzhou's informal credit market and how much that market is responsive to monetary policies and the formal banking conditions nationwide. A number of relatively stable factors have been identified from this volatile market through a careful exploration of a monthly survey data set for the period of 2003–2011. The main findings are: (i) Wenzhou's informal credit lending rates are highly receptive to monetary policies; (ii) Wenzhou's market is dominantly demand driven; (iii) Wenzhou's informal lending is substitutive to bank savings in the short run but complementary to banking lending in the long run; and (iv) Wenzhou's market is complementary to excessive investments in the local real estate market.

Suggested Citation

  • Qin, Duo & Xu, Zhong & Zhang, Xuechun, 2014. "How much informal credit lending responded to monetary policy in China? The case of Wenzhou," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31, pages 22-31.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:31-32:y:2014:i::p:22-31
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2014.03.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1049007814000141
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.asieco.2014.03.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Madestam, Andreas, 2014. "Informal finance: A theory of moneylenders," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 157-174.
    2. repec:bla:rdevec:v:3:y:1999:i:3:p:323-35 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Allen, Franklin & Qian, Jun & Qian, Meijun, 2005. "Law, finance, and economic growth in China," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 57-116, July.
    4. David F. Hendry, 2011. "Empirical Economic Model Discovery and Theory Evaluation," Rationality, Markets and Morals, Frankfurt School Verlag, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management, vol. 2(46), October.
    5. Seth B. Carpenter, 1999. "Informal Credit Markets and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: Evidence from South Korea," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(3), pages 323-335, October.
    6. Rosemary Atieno, 2009. "Linkages, Access to Finance and the Performance of Small-Scale Enterprises in Kenya," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2009-06, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Qin, Duo, 2013. "A History of Econometrics: The Reformation from the 1970s," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199679348.
    8. Hendry, David F., 1995. "Dynamic Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198283164.
    9. Meghana Ayyagari & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Vojislav Maksimovic, 2010. "Formal versus Informal Finance: Evidence from China," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 3048-3097, August.
    10. David F. Hendry, 2009. "The Methodology of Empirical Econometric Modeling: Applied Econometrics Through the Looking-Glass," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terence C. Mills & Kerry Patterson (ed.), Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics, chapter 1, pages 3-67, Palgrave Macmillan.
    11. Hansen, Bruce E., 1992. "Testing for parameter instability in linear models," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 517-533, August.
    12. Harold NGALAWA, 2010. "The Interaction of Formal and Informal Financial Sectors in Quasi-Emerging Market Economies," EcoMod2010 259600120, EcoMod.
    13. Smant, David / D.J.C., 2002. "Bank credit in the transmission of monetary policy: A critical review of the issues and evidence," MPRA Paper 19816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Duo Qin, 2011. "Rise Of Var Modelling Approach," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 156-174, February.
    15. repec:bla:econom:v:64:y:1997:i:254:p:331-43 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael Funke & Petar Mihaylovski & Haibin Zhu, "undated". "Monetary policy transmission in China: A DSGE model with parallel shadow banking and interest rate control," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_007, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    2. Liqiong Lin & Weizhuo Wang & Christopher Gan & David A. Cohen & Quang T.T Nguyen, 2019. "Rural Credit Constraint and Informal Rural Credit Accessibility in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, April.
    3. GUO, Jianfeng & LIU, Xiaojie & CUI, Changnan & GU, Fu, 2021. "Influence of nonspecific factors on the interest rate of online peer-to-peer microloans in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    4. Liu, Qiyang & Liu, Zhengying & Kang, Tingting & Zhu, Le & Zhao, Pengjun, 2022. "Transport inequities through the lens of environmental racism: Rural-urban migrants under Covid-19," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 26-38.
    5. Dong He & Honglin Wang & Xiangrong Yu, 2015. "Interest Rate Determination in China: Past, Present, and Future," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 255-277, December.
    6. Ding Chen & Simon Deakin, 2021. "When formal finance meets the informal: the case of Wenzhou," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(3), pages 208-218, September.
    7. Peters Idowu & Yaaba N. Baba & Adetoba O. Olufunso & Tomologu-Okunomo E. Aduni & Tonuchi E. Joseph, 2020. "How Effective is Monetary Policy in the Presence of High Informality in Nigeria," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 10(2), pages 84-93.
    8. Yingxiu Zhao & Wei Zhang & Xiangyu Kong, 2019. "Dynamic Cross-Correlations between Participants’ Attentions to P2P Lending and Offline Loan in the Private Lending Market," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-8, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Duo Qin & Zhong Xu & Xue-Chun Zhang, 2013. "How Much Has Private Credit Lending Reacted to Monetary Policy in China? The Case of Wenzhou," Working Papers 178, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    2. Degryse, Hans & Lu, Liping & Ongena, Steven, 2016. "Informal or formal financing? Evidence on the co-funding of Chinese firms," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 31-50.
    3. Duo Qin, 2019. "Let’s take the bias out of econometrics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 81-98, April.
    4. Fan, Ying & Wu, Jing & Yang, Zan, 2017. "Informal borrowing and home purchase: Evidence from urban China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 108-118.
    5. Elmas Yaldız Hanedar & Yener Altunbas & Flavio Bazzana, 2014. "Why Do SMEs Use Informal Credit? A Comparison between Countries," Journal of Financial Management, Markets and Institutions, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 65-86, July.
    6. DUo Qin & Yimeng Liu, 2013. "Modelling Scale Effect in Crosssection Data:The Case of Hedonic Price Regression," Working Papers 184, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    7. Duo Qin & Sophie van H¸llen & Qing-Chao Wang, 2014. "What Happens to Wage Elasticities When We Strip Playometrics? Revisiting Married Women Labour Supply Model," Working Papers 190, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    8. Duo Qin & Sophie Van Huellen & Qing-Chao Wang, 2015. "How Credible Are Shrinking Wage Elasticities of Married Women Labour Supply?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-31, December.
    9. Long, Trinh Quang, 2019. "Becoming a high-growth firm in a developing country: The role of co-funding," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 330-335.
    10. Wellalage, Nirosha Hewa & Fernandez, Viviana, 2019. "Innovation and SME finance: Evidence from developing countries," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    11. Lei, Jie & Bai, Yiyi & Kong, Dongmin, 2024. "Bank competition and household informal credit," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    12. Wang, He & Yao, Yang & Zhou, Yue, 2022. "Markets price politicians: Evidence from China’s municipal bond markets," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    13. Lin, Tse-Chun & Liu, Jinyu & Ni, Xiaoran, 2022. "Foreign bank entry deregulation and stock market stability: Evidence from staggered regulatory changes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 185-207.
    14. Chen, Zhiyuan & Li, Yong & Zhang, Jie, 2016. "The bank–firm relationship: Helping or grabbing?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 385-403.
    15. Hong Sun & Valentina Hartarska & Lezhu Zhang & Denis Nadolnyak, 2018. "The Influence of Social Capital on Farm Household’s Borrowing Behavior in Rural China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-20, November.
    16. Agarwal, Natasha & Milner, Chris & Riaño, Alejandro, 2014. "Credit constraints and spillovers from foreign firms in China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 261-275.
    17. Jing Wu & Qiuge Yao & Haoxiang Tong, 2019. "Does monetary policy tightening reduce the maturity mismatch of investment and financing: Empirical evidence from China," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(6), pages 1-3.
    18. David F. Hendry & Grayham E. Mizon, 2016. "Improving the teaching of econometrics," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1170096-117, December.
    19. Cull,Robert J. & Gan,Li & Gao,Nan & Xu,L. Colin & Cull,Robert J. & Gan,Li & Gao,Nan & Xu,L. Colin, 2015. "Dual credit markets and household access to finance : evidence from a representative Chinese household survey," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7454, The World Bank.
    20. Menkhoff, Lukas & Rungruxsirivorn, Ornsiri, 2009. "Village Funds in the Rural Credit Market of Thailand," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009 45, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Informal credit market; Monetary policy;

    JEL classification:

    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:31-32:y:2014:i::p:22-31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/asieco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.