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Evaluating the effectiveness of the rural minimum living standard guarantee (Dibao) program in China

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  • Kakwani, Nanak
  • Li, Shi
  • Wang, Xiaobing
  • Zhu, Mengbing
Abstract
China's Rural Minimum Living Standard Guarantee program (Dibao) is the largest social safety-net program in the world. Given the scale and the popularity of Rural Dibao, it is necessary to rigorously evaluate it so that policymakers know the extent to which the program meets its intended objective of reducing poverty. This paper develops some new methods and uses data from the 2013 Chinese Household Income Project (CHIP2013) to examine the targeting performance of the rural Dibao program. The paper has found that the Rural Dibao program suffers from very low targeting accuracy, high exclusion error, and inclusion error, and yields a significant negative social rate of return. It discusses possible causes and argues that the fundamental mechanism has to be redesigned to increase the effectiveness of the program. The paper makes some recommendations to reform Dibao that will significantly improve targeting and reduce the cost of running the program. That will help China to achieve its goal of eradicating extreme poverty by 2020.

Suggested Citation

  • Kakwani, Nanak & Li, Shi & Wang, Xiaobing & Zhu, Mengbing, 2019. "Evaluating the effectiveness of the rural minimum living standard guarantee (Dibao) program in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:53:y:2019:i:c:p:1-14
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2018.07.010
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    Cited by:

    1. Gordon Anderson & Oliver Linton & Maria Grazia Pittau & Yoon-Jae Whang & Roberto Zelli, 2021. "On unit free assessment of the extent of multilateral distributional variation," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(3), pages 502-518.
    2. Nanak Kakwani & Xiaobing Wang & Ning Xue & Peng Zhan, 2022. "Growth and Common Prosperity in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(1), pages 28-57, January.
    3. Yongmin Luo & Shenqi Ding & Qiyuan Li & Min Gao, 2024. "Adding insult to injury: Living in a remote location increases the burden of gift expenses among the rural poor in China," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 2229-2251, July.
    4. Nanak Kakwani & Xiaobing Wang & Jing Xu & Ximing Yue, 2021. "Assessing the Social Welfare Effects of Government Transfer Programs: Some International Comparisons☆," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 67(4), pages 1005-1028, December.
    5. Huawei Han & Qin Gao, 2020. "Does Welfare Participation Improve Life Satisfaction? Evidence from Panel Data in Rural China," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 21(5), pages 1795-1822, June.
    6. Yangyang Shen & Shi Li & Xiaobing Wang, 2021. "Impacts of Two Tax Reforms on Inequality and Welfare in China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(3), pages 104-134, May.
    7. Anson Au, 2023. "Reassessing the econometric measurement of inequality and poverty: toward a cost-of-living approach," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-10, December.
    8. Qin Gao & Fuhua Zhai & Yi Wang, 2022. "Welfare Participation Reduced Severe Child Multidimensional Poverty in Rural China: Better Targeting Can Lead to Greater Poverty Reduction," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 15(3), pages 913-932, June.
    9. Zixuan He & Xiangming Fang & Nathan Rose & Xiaodong Zheng & Scott Rozelle, 2021. "Rural minimum living standard guarantee (rural Dibao) program boosts children's education outcomes in rural China," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(1), pages 54-77, January.
    10. Nanak Kakwani & Xiaobing Wang & Jing Xu & Ximing Yue, 2020. "Assessing the Social Welfare Effects of Government Transfer Programs: Some International Comparisons," LIS Working papers 786, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    11. Mao Zheng & Xiaoguang Li & Zhilong Qin & Muhammad Tayyab Sohail, 2023. "Examining the Impact of Fiscal Resources on Anti-Poverty Expenditure: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-17, March.
    12. Jiandong Chen & Ping Wang & Jixian Zhou & Malin Song & Xinyue Zhang, 2022. "Influencing factors and efficiency of funds in humanitarian supply chains: the case of Chinese rural minimum living security funds," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 319(1), pages 413-438, December.
    13. Luo, Jay, 2019. "Poverty alleviation research in rural China: Three decades and counting," SocArXiv gmuav, Center for Open Science.
    14. Taiyang Zhong & Jonathan Crush & Zhenzhong Si & Steffanie Scott, 2022. "Emergency food supplies and food security in Wuhan and Nanjing, China, during the COVID‐19 pandemic: Evidence from a field survey," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 40(3), May.
    15. Jiafeng Gu, 2021. "Family Conditions and the Accessibility of Online Education: The Digital Divide and Mediating Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-14, August.
    16. ZHANG, Yangyang & ZHENG, Xinye & XIE, Lunyu, 2021. "How do poverty alleviation coordinators help the impoverished in rural China? -- Evidence from the Chinese poor population tracking dataset," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    17. Cheng, Xiaoyu & Wang, Jianying & Chen, Kevin Z., 2022. "Does villager social capital hinder poverty targeting? Evidence from poverty-stricken county of Western China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    18. Han, Huawei & Gao, Qin, 2019. "Community-based welfare targeting and political elite capture: Evidence from rural China," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 145-159.
    19. Qiu Cheng & Kinglun Ngok, 2023. "Does the Dibao Program Improve Citizens’ Life Satisfaction in China? Perceptions of Pathways of Poverty Attribution and Income Inequality," Applied Research in Quality of Life, Springer;International Society for Quality-of-Life Studies, vol. 18(2), pages 975-995, April.
    20. Zhao, Xi & Wang, Julia Shu-Huah, 2021. "The effects of multiple welfare program participatifon on educational expenditures and time use: Evidence from the social safety net in China," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    21. Hisatoshi Hoken & Hiroshi Sato, 2022. "Effects of Public Transfers on Income Inequality and Poverty in Rural China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(5), pages 29-48, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dibao; Policy effectiveness; Poverty reduction; Social rate of return; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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