[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ebl/ecbull/eb-16-00874.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does external debt- poverty relationship confirm the debtoverhang hypothesis for developing counties?

Author

Listed:
  • Taha Zaghdoudi

    (Faculty of Law, Economics and Management of Jendouba, Tunisia)

  • Abdelaziz Hakimi

    (Faculty of Law, Economics and Management of Jendouba, Tunisia)

Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of external debt on poverty for a panel of 25 developing countries over the period 2000-2015. By performing panel cointegration model, we found strong evidence of a positive and significant long-run relationship between poverty, external debt, GDP per capita, gross domestic and fixed investment. Findings indicate also the existence of negative and significant association between poverty, infrastructure, health condition and openness. The Granger-causality results indicate bidirectional causality between external debt and poverty in both short- and long-run. This paper supports the view that external debt increase poverty in developing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Taha Zaghdoudi & Abdelaziz Hakimi, 2017. "Does external debt- poverty relationship confirm the debtoverhang hypothesis for developing counties?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 653-665.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-16-00874
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2017/Volume37/EB-17-V37-I2-P60.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Basanta K Pradhan & Malvika Mahesh, 2014. "Impact of trade openness on poverty: a panel data analysis of a set of developing countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 34(4), pages 2208-2219.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 1998. "Roads to Nowhere; How Corruption in Public investment Hurts Growth," IMF Economic Issues 1998/001, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Kathrin Berensmann, 2004. "New ways of achieving debt sustainability beyond the enhanced HIPC Initiative," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 39(6), pages 321-330, November.
    4. Kao, Chihwa, 1999. "Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 1-44, May.
    5. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    6. repec:bla:obuest:v:61:y:1999:i:0:p:631-52 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Jayaraman, T.K. & Lau, Evan, 2009. "Does external debt lead to economic growth in Pacific island countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 272-288.
    8. Mr. Kadima D. Kalonji & Mr. Boileau Loko & Raj Nallari & Mr. Montfort Mlachila, 2003. "The Impact of External Indebtednesson Poverty in Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2003/061, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Catherine Pattillo & Hélène Poirson & Luca Antonio Ricci, 2011. "External Debt and Growth," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(3).
    10. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    11. Benzeval, Michaela & Judge, Ken, 2001. "Income and health: the time dimension," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 52(9), pages 1371-1390, May.
    12. Maureen Were, 2001. "The Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth in Kenya: An Empirical Assessment," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2001-116, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    13. A. R. Kemal, 2001. "Debt Accumulation and Its Implications for Growth and Poverty," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 40(4), pages 263-281.
    14. Katsushi Imai & Raghav Gaiha & Ganesh Thapa, 2010. "Is the Millennium Development Goal on Poverty Still Achievable? The Role of Institutions, Finance and Openness," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 309-337.
    15. Parikh, Priti & Fu, Kun & Parikh, Himanshu & McRobie, Allan & George, Gerard, 2015. "Infrastructure Provision, Gender, and Poverty in Indian Slums," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 468-486.
    16. Basanta K Pradhan & Malvika Mahesh, 2016. "Impact of remittances on poverty: an analysis of data from a set of developing countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 108-117.
    17. Arellano, Manuel & Bover, Olympia, 1995. "Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 29-51, July.
    18. Siddique, Abu & Selvanathan, E.A. & Selvanathan, Saroja, 2016. "The impact of external debt on growth: Evidence from highly indebted poor countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 874-894.
    19. Khan, Mohsin S & Kumar, Manmohan S, 1997. "Public and Private Investment and the Growth Process in Developing Countries," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 59(1), pages 69-88, February.
    20. M.A.B. Siddique, 1994. "The External Debt Problem of Sub-Saharan Africa: 1971-90," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 94-09, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
    21. Mr. Paulo Silva Lopes, 2002. "A Comparative Analysis of Government Social Spending Indicators and Their Correlation with Social Outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 2002/176, International Monetary Fund.
    22. Vogelsang, Timothy J. & Wagner, Martin, 2014. "Integrated modified OLS estimation and fixed-b inference for cointegrating regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(2), pages 741-760.
    23. Ioannis N. Kessides, 2004. "Reforming Infrastructure : Privatization, Regulation, and Competition," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 13525.
    24. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    25. Krugman, Paul, 1988. "Financing vs. forgiving a debt overhang," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 253-268, November.
    26. Toan Quoc Nguyen & Mr. Benedict J. Clements & Ms. Rina Bhattacharya, 2003. "External Debt, Public Investment, and Growth in Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2003/249, International Monetary Fund.
    27. Khan, Mohsin S. & Reinhart, Carmen M., 1990. "Private investment and economic growth in developing countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 19-27, January.
    28. Ms. Hélène Poirson & Mr. Luca A Ricci & Ms. Catherine A Pattillo, 2004. "What Are the Channels Through Which External Debt Affects Growth?," IMF Working Papers 2004/015, International Monetary Fund.
    29. Pervez Zammurad Janjua & Usman Ahmad Kamal, 2011. "The Role of Education and Income in Poverty Alleviation: A Cross-Country Analysis," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 16(1), pages 143-172, Jan-Jun.
    30. Masha F. Somi & James R. G. Butler & Farshid Vahid & Joseph D. Njau & Salim Abdulla, 2009. "Household responses to health risks and shocks: A study from rural Tanzania raises some methodological issues," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 200-211.
    31. Awan, Masood Sarwar & Malik, Nouman & Sarwar, Haroon & Waqas, Muhammad, 2011. "Impact of education on poverty reduction," MPRA Paper 31826, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    32. G. S. Maddala & Shaowen Wu, 1999. "A Comparative Study of Unit Root Tests with Panel Data and a New Simple Test," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 61(S1), pages 631-652, November.
    33. Priti Parikh & Allan McRobie, 2009. "Engineering as a tool for improving human habitat," International Journal of Management and Decision Making, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 10(3/4), pages 270-281.
    34. Levin, Andrew & Lin, Chien-Fu & James Chu, Chia-Shang, 2002. "Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 1-24, May.
    35. Daniel Boamah & Winston Moore, 2009. "External Debt and Growth in the Caribbean," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 139-157, July-Dece.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Musakwa Mercy T. & Odhiambo Nicholas M. & Nyasha Sheilla, 2021. "The impact of foreign capital inflows on poverty in Vietnam: An empirical investigation," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 31-49, December.
    2. Musakwa Mercy T. & Odhiambo Nicholas M. & Nyasha Sheilla, 2021. "The impact of foreign capital inflows on poverty in Vietnam: An empirical investigation," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 31-49, December.
    3. Musakwa Mercy T. & Odhiambo Nicholas M. & Nyasha Sheilla, 2021. "The impact of foreign capital inflows on poverty in Vietnam: An empirical investigation," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 31-49, December.
    4. Musakwa Mercy T. & Odhiambo Nicholas M. & Nyasha Sheilla, 2021. "The impact of foreign capital inflows on poverty in Vietnam: An empirical investigation," Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 7(2), pages 31-49, December.
    5. Saida Daly & Nihel Benali & Manal Yagoub, 2022. "Financing Sustainable Development, Which Factors Can Interfere?: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
    6. Noman Arshed & Sidra Nasir & Muhammad Ibrahim Saeed, 2022. "Impact of the External Debt on Standard of Living: A Case of Asian Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 321-340, August.
    7. Khemais Zaghdoudi, 2018. "Is the relationship between external debt and human development non-linear? A PSTR approach for developing countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 2194-2216.
    8. MT Musakwa & N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "The Impact of Foreign Capital Inflows on Poverty in Vietnam: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers AESRI-2021-10, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Oct 2021.
    9. Muhammad Shahid & Mahmood Shah & Bibi Aisha Sadiqa, 2019. "Foreign Debt and Debt Servicing Relief Effect Implications in Pakistan: A Poverty Reduction Strategy," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 4(4), pages 23-34, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Taha Zaghdoudi, 2020. "Threshold Effect in the Relationship Between External Debt and Economic Growth: A Dynamic Panel Threshold Specification," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(2), pages 447-456, June.
    2. Siddique, Abu & Selvanathan, E.A. & Selvanathan, Saroja, 2016. "The impact of external debt on growth: Evidence from highly indebted poor countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 874-894.
    3. Gharehgozli, Orkideh, 2021. "An empirical comparison between a regression framework and the Synthetic Control Method," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 70-81.
    4. Scott, K. Rebecca, 2011. "Demand and price volatility: rational habits in international gasoline demand," CUDARE Working Papers 121931, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    5. Alessio Ciarlone, 2019. "The relationship between financial development and growth: the case of emerging Europe," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 521, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Ardeshiri, Mansour & Moghaddasi, Reza & Yazdani, Saeed & Mohamadinejad, Amir, 2019. "Trade Openness and Spatial Distribution of Manufacturing Industries: Iranian Provincial Evidence," Asian Journal of Applied Economics/ Applied Economics Journal, Kasetsart University, Faculty of Economics, Center for Applied Economic Research, vol. 26(1), pages 21-44, June.
    7. Taner Turan & Halit Yanıkkaya, 2021. "External debt, growth and investment for developing countries: some evidence for the debt overhang hypothesis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 20(3), pages 319-341, September.
    8. Chen, Ping-Yu & Chen, Sheng-Tung & Hsu, Chia-Sheng & Chen, Chi-Chung, 2016. "Modeling the global relationships among economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emissions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 420-431.
    9. mallick, Jagannath, 2016. "Investigating the Relationship of Disparity in Income, Private investment and wage rate in Indian states: A Panel Cointegration Approach," MPRA Paper 87736, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Aug 2017.
    10. Ronald MacDonald & Flávio Vieira, "undated". "A panel data investigation of real exchange rate misalignment and growth," Working Papers 2010_13, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    11. Yongfu Huang, 2011. "Private investment and financial development in a globalized world," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 43-56, August.
    12. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2011. "Oil prices, nuclear energy consumption, and economic growth: New evidence using a heterogeneous panel analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 2111-2120, April.
    13. Ferreira, Cândida, 2020. "Globalisation and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 73(2), pages 187-236.
    14. Sloboda, Brian W. & Sissoko, Yaya, 2020. "Determinants of Economic Growth in ECOWAS Countries: An Empirical Investigation," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(2), July.
    15. Siamand Hesami & Bezhan Rustamov & Husam Rjoub & Wing-Keung Wong, 2020. "Implications of Oil Price Fluctuations for Tourism Receipts: The Case of Oil Exporting Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, August.
    16. Peñasco, Cristina & del Río, Pablo & Romero-Jordán, Desiderio, 2017. "Gas and electricity demand in Spanish manufacturing industries: An analysis using homogeneous and heterogeneous estimators," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 45-60.
    17. Markus Eberhardt & Andrea Filippo Presbitero, 2013. "This Time They're Different: Heterogeneity;and Nonlinearity in the Relationship;between Debt and Growth," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 92, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    18. Ricardo R. Moreira, 2019. "Inflation and real exchange rate and macroeconomic gaps: causality for 50 emerging and developing countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 142-158.
    19. Hwang, Jen-Te & Chung, Chien-Ping & Wang, Chieh-Hsuan, 2010. "Debt Overhang, Financial Sector Development And Economic Growth," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 51(1), pages 13-30, June.
    20. Jean Vasile Andrei & Mihai Mieila & Mirela Panait, 2017. "The impact and determinants of the energy paradigm on economic growth in European Union," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(3), pages 1-17, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Poverty; External debt;

    JEL classification:

    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-16-00874. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: John P. Conley (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.