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Einkommenswirkungen der Anhebung des gesetzlichen Rentenalters und heutiges Rentenzugangsverhalten

Author

Listed:
  • Johannes Geyer
  • Peter Haan
Abstract
The distributional effect of the increase in the compulsory retirement age depends markedly on the individual employment history and the labor market situation. Based on model simulations and administrative data (Scientific Use Files der Rentenzugangsstatistik 2006) we analyze the income effect increasing the compulsory retirement age from 65 to 67 in Germany and identify risk groups. We show that increasing the pensionable age is not the central reason for poverty of pensioners; this problem is mainly related to bad labor market situation of risk groups. Die Einkommenswirkungen und sozialpolitischen Folgen einer Erhöhung des gesetzlichen Renteneintrittsalters unterscheiden sich stark nach der individuellen Erwerbsbiographie und der Arbeitsmarktsituation älterer Arbeitnehmer. Mit Hilfe von Modellrechnungen zeigen wir, wie sich die Einkommenssituation von Rentnern mit unterschiedlichen Erwerbsbiographien durch die Einführung der gesetzlichen Rente mit 67 verändert. Ferner nutzen wir Daten des Scientific Use Files der Rentenzugangsstatistik 2006, um die Risikogruppen dieser Reform zu identifizieren. Die einfache Diagnose, dass die Rente mit 67 ein Rentensenkungsprogramm ist, kann nicht aufrechterhalten werden. Es zeigt sich vielmehr, dass das Armutsproblem, das der Rente mit 67 oft angelastet wird, in erster Linie ein Arbeitsmarktproblem darstellt.

Suggested Citation

  • Johannes Geyer & Peter Haan, 2011. "Einkommenswirkungen der Anhebung des gesetzlichen Rentenalters und heutiges Rentenzugangsverhalten," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 80(2), pages 61-80.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwvjh:80-2-5
    DOI: 10.3790/vjh.80.2.61
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Martin Gasche, 2011. "Ist die Rente mit 67 ein Rentenkürzungsprogramm? Auf die Sichtweise kommt es an!," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 91(1), pages 53-60, January.
    2. Babel, Bernhard & Bomsdorf, Eckart, 2006. "Ist die Erhöhung des gesetzlichen Rentenzugangsalters nur eine Rentenkürzung?," Wirtschaftsdienst – Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik (1949 - 2007), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 86(7), pages 479-484.
    3. Gasche, Martin & Bucher-Koenen, Tabea & Holthausen, Annette & Kluth, Sebastian, 2010. "Zehn Missverständnisse im Zusammenhang mit der Rente mit 67," MEA discussion paper series 10209, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    1. Antje Schubert, 2012. "Rente mit 67: Auswirkungen auf die Höhe des Rentenanspruchs," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 19(06), pages 09-13, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Erhöhung des gesetzlichen Renteneintrittsalters; Einkommenswirkungen; Altersarmut;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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