[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/col/000438/013528.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Una evaluación de la situación fiscal colombiana

Author

Listed:
  • José Antonio Ocampo
Abstract
“El desequilibrio de las finanzas públicas y sus efectos potenciales sobre la estabilidad macroeconómica del país ha cambiado el foco del debate económico, que estuvo concentrado en anos anteriores en los efectos de la apertura económica y en el manejo adecuado de la bonanza petrolera. El documento presenta en la primera parte la evolución del gasto del sector público y matiza la noción de acuerdo con la cual el Estado colombiano ha crecido desproporcionadamente en los últimos anos. De igual manera, presenta la evolución del gasto del Gobierno Central, identificando con claridad los componentes que imparten la dinámica al gasto total y los esfuerzos que se vienen realizando en el último ano para mantener las finanzas públicas bajo control. Uno de los elementos que contribuye de manera importante al deterioro de las finanzas del Gobierno es la carga de los intereses, la cual alcanza el 2.5% del PIB en 1997, y refleja el efecto conjunto de la eliminación del financiamiento monetario del presupuesto y de la sustitución de endeudamiento externo por interno. En la segunda parte, se introduce al debate algunas alternativas de medición del déficit frente a las nuevas reglas y dinámica de contratación de la deuda pública. La tercera y cuarta partes complementan el análisis anterior con unas consideraciones sobre la dinámica de la deuda pública nacional y del déficit del sector público consolidado, respectivamente. La sección final presenta algunas consideraciones sobre las principales normas de tipo legal y constitucional que deberán modificarse en las próximas legislaturas para atacar el problema estructural de las finanzas del Gobierno Central.”

Suggested Citation

  • José Antonio Ocampo, 1997. "Una evaluación de la situación fiscal colombiana," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000438:013528
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11445/2162
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ahsan S. Mansur & Mr. Richard D Haas & Mr. Peter S. Heller, 1986. "A Review of the Fiscal Impulse Measure," IMF Occasional Papers 1986/003, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. David Alejandro Camargo González & Cynthia Lucía Támara Tafur & Siara Vanessa Deluquez Gómez & María Paula Baptiste González, 2017. "Cuadernos fiscales no. 6. Administración tributaria: reflexiones para Colombia desde el derecho comparado," Books, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Facultad de Derecho, number 974.
    2. Tovar, Camilo Ernesto & Ocampo, José Antonio & Sánchez Torres, Fabio, 2000. "The labour market and income distribution in Colombia in the 1990s," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    3. Israel Fainboim & Carlos Jorge Rodríguez, 1999. "Una discusión sobre la conveniencia de construir el metro de Bogotá y sobre las dificultades para financiarlo," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, September.
    4. Donald Robbins, 1998. "Los determinantes de la acumulación de capital humano en Colombia, y sus implicaciones sobre la teoría del comercio y el crecimiento. Evidencias para Bogotá," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, June.
    5. Israel Fainboim & Julio César Alonso, 1997. "Sobre el uso indiscriminado de indicadores fiscales complementarios," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, September.
    6. Leonardo Villar & Hernán Rincón, 2000. "The Colombian Economy In The Nineties: Capital Flows And Foreign Exchange Regimes," Borradores de Economia 3575, Banco de la Republica.
    7. José Antonio Ocampo, 1998. "La política económica durante la administración Samper," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wichmann, Roberta Moreira & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2013. "Política Fiscal Assimétrica: O Caso do Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(3), September.
    2. Lekha S. Chakraborty, 2015. "Fiscal Seigniorage “Laffer-curve effect†on Central Bank Autonomy in India," Working Papers id:7754, eSocialSciences.
    3. Marcel, Mario, 2001. "Balance Estructural del Gobierno Central. Metodología y Estimaciones para Chile [Structural Bazlance of Central Government. Methodology and estimates for Chile]," MPRA Paper 43338, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Renee Philip & John Janssen, 2002. "Indicators of Fiscal Impulse for New Zealand," Treasury Working Paper Series 02/30, New Zealand Treasury.
    5. Gustavo Garcia Osio & Rafael Rodriguez Balza & Luis Marcano & Ricardo Penfold & Gustavo Sanchez, 1998. "La sostenibilidad de la política fiscal en el América Latina: El caso de Venezuela," Research Department Publications 3016, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    6. Signe Krogstrup, 2002. "Should We Pay Attention to Indicators of Fiscal Impact on Demand?," IHEID Working Papers 01-2002, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    7. Mr. Plamen K Iossifov & Ms. Misa Takebe & Zaijin Zhan & Mr. Noriaki Kinoshita & Mr. Robert C York, 2009. "Improving Surveillance Across the CEMAC Region," IMF Working Papers 2009/260, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Otto Gandenberger, 2000. "Is the Fiscal Deficit Misconceived? Proponents of Generational Accounting Overstate their Case," CESifo Working Paper Series 282, CESifo.
    9. Chakraborty, Lekha, 2015. "Fiscal Seigniorage "Laffer-curve effect" on Central Bank Autonomy in India," Working Papers 15/156, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    10. Clark Granger & Yurany Hernández & Jorge Ramos & Jorge Toro & Héctor Zárate, 2018. "La postura fiscal en Colombia a partir de los ajustes a las tarifas impositivas," Borradores de Economia 1038, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    11. Jansen, K., 2002. "The scope for fiscal policy : with examples from Thailand," ISS Working Papers - General Series 19127, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    12. Martin Larch & Matteo Salto, 2005. "Fiscal rules, inertia and discretionary fiscal policy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(10), pages 1135-1146.
    13. Mr. Nigel A Chalk, 2002. "Structural Balances and All That: Which Indicators to Use in Assessing Fiscal Policy," IMF Working Papers 2002/101, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Lekha Chakraborty, 2018. "Monetary Seigniorage in an Emerging Economy: Empirical Evidences," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(5), pages 135-144, May.
    15. Ziebarth, Gerhard, 1995. "Methodology and technique for determining structural budget deficits," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1995,02e, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    16. António Afonso, 2001. "Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy in the EU-15," Working Papers Department of Economics 2001/07, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    17. Guillermo Le Fort, 1998. "La Política Monetaria, el Tipo de Cambio Real y el Encaje al Influjo de Capitales: Un Modelo Analítico Simple," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 36, Central Bank of Chile.
    18. Malcolm J. Abbott, 1996. "The Real Structural Imbalance and Fiscal Stance in Australia during the Postwar Era," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 29(4), pages 385-398, October.
    19. Ziebarth, Gerhard, 1995. "Methodik und Technik der Bestimmung struktureller Budgetdefizite," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1995,02, Deutsche Bundesbank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Finanzas Públicas; Sector Público; Consumo; Inversiones Públicas; Gasto Público; Presupuesto Nacional; Gasto Público Social; Devaluación; Déficit Fiscal; Subsidios; Crisis Fiscal; Ajuste Fiscal; Transferencias de Ingresos; Deuda Pública; Colombia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
    • H11 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Structure and Scope of Government
    • R53 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Public Facility Location Analysis; Public Investment and Capital Stock

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000438:013528. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Patricia Monroy (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fedesco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.