[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/col/000090/017905.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial analysis of manufacturing employment in Mexico, 1984-2013

Author

Listed:
  • Leobardo de Jesús-Almonte
  • Roldán Andrés-Rosales
  • Yolanda Carbajal-Suárez
Abstract
The slow economic growth that characterized the Mexican economy during the 1984-2013 period has had a differential influence on the dynamics of manufacturing employment in the country’s 32 states. We estimate an employment function from census information using a spatial panel technique and show that both the endogenous and exogenous factors of the variables included in the model act as triggers for employment growth in the manufacturing sector. Results confirm that states’ internal factors determine the trajectory of employment growth, but so do the factors of neighboring states, which are analyzed through direct, indirect and total impacts. The estimation of short and long-term impacts allows the improvement of economic policy recommendations regarding employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Leobardo de Jesús-Almonte & Roldán Andrés-Rosales & Yolanda Carbajal-Suárez, 2020. "Spatial analysis of manufacturing employment in Mexico, 1984-2013," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 84(3), pages 91-128, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000090:017905
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://revistas.uniandes.edu.co/doi/pdf/10.13043/DYS.84.3
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mejía-Reyes, Pablo & Rendón-Rojas, Liliana & Vergara-González, Reyna & Aroca, Patricio, 2018. "International synchronization of the Mexican states business cycles: Explaining factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 278-288.
    2. Maroto-Sánchez, Andrés & Cuadrado-Roura, Juan R., 2009. "Is growth of services an obstacle to productivity growth? A comparative analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 254-265, December.
    3. Eckhard Hein & Artur Tarassow, 2010. "Distribution, aggregate demand and productivity growth: theory and empirical results for six OECD countries based on a post-Kaleckian model," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 34(4), pages 727-754.
    4. Rosario Cervantes & Gerardo Fujii, 2012. "The Mexican trade liberalization process and its net effects on employment: 1988-2004," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 9(2), pages 81-97, Julio-Dic.
    5. Cuadrado-Roura, Juan R., 2016. "Service industries and regional analysis. New directions and challenges," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 36, pages 107-127.
    6. Jitendra Parajuli & Kingsley E. Haynes, 2017. "Panel Data Models of New Firm Formation in New England," REGION, European Regional Science Association, vol. 4, pages 65-76.
    7. Esquivel, Gerardo, 1999. "Convergencia regional en México, 1940-1995," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 66(264), pages 725-761, : octubre.
    8. Edna C. Fragoso Pastrana, 2003. "Apertura comercial y productividad en la industria manufacturera mexicana," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(1), pages 5-38, January-J.
    9. Federico Belotti & Gordon Hughes & Andrea Piano Mortari, 2017. "Spatial panel-data models using Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 17(1), pages 139-180, March.
    10. Ibarra, Carlos Alberto, 2008. "La paradoja del crecimiento lento de México," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    11. Gordon, Robert J, 1990. "What Is New-Keynesian Economics?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 28(3), pages 1115-1171, September.
    12. Robert Dixon & John Freebairn & G C Lim, 2004. "An Employment Equation For Australia: 1966-2001," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 892, The University of Melbourne.
    13. Ros, Jaime, 2008. "La desaceleración del crecimiento económico en México desde 1982," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(299), pages 537-560, julio-sep.
    14. Robert Vergeer & Alfred Kleinknecht, 2010. "The impact of labor market deregulation on productivity: a panel data analysis of 19 OECD countries (1960-2004)," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 371-408, January.
    15. Dussel Peters, Enrique & Gallagher, Kevin P., 2013. "El huésped no invitado del TLCAN: China y la desintegración del comercio en América del Norte," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    16. C. W. M. Naastepad, 2006. "Technology, demand and distribution: a cumulative growth model with an application to the Dutch productivity growth slowdown," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 30(3), pages 403-434, May.
    17. Malcomson, James M, 1981. "Unemployment and the Efficiency Wage Hypothesis," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 91(364), pages 848-866, December.
    18. Zevallos Vallejos, Emilio G., 2003. "Micro, pequeñas y medianas empresas en América Latina," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    19. Luis N. Lanteri, 2013. "Determinantes económicos del nivel de empleo. Alguna evidencia para Argentina," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(1), pages 73-100, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Engelbert Stockhammer & Ozlem Onaran, 2013. "Wage-led growth: theory, evidence, policy," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 61-78, January.
    2. Sangjun Jeong, 2017. "Biased Technical Change and Economic Growth: The Case of Korea, 1970–2013," Research in Political Economy, in: Return of Marxian Macro-Dynamics in East Asia, volume 32, pages 81-103, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    3. Lavoie, M. & Stockhammer, Engelbert,, 2012. "Wage-led growth : concepts, theories and policies," ILO Working Papers 994709363402676, International Labour Organization.
    4. Storm, Servaas. & Naastepad, C.W.M.,, 2012. "Wage-led or profit-led supply : wages, productivity and investment," ILO Working Papers 994709303402676, International Labour Organization.
    5. Eckhard Hein, 2017. "Post-Keynesian macroeconomics since the mid 1990s: main developments," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 131-172, September.
    6. Cem Oyvat & Oğuz Öztunalı & Ceyhun Elgin, 2020. "Wage‐led versus profit‐led demand: A comprehensive empirical analysis," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 458-486, July.
    7. Hein, Eckhard, 2011. "Distribution, ‘Financialisation’ and the Financial and Economic Crisis – Implications for Post-crisis Economic Policies," MPRA Paper 31180, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Jochen Hartwig, 2013. "Ist Lohnzurückhaltung gut oder schlecht für das Schweizer Wirtschaftswachstum?," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 7(2), pages 33-45, June.
    9. Özlem Onaran, 2019. "Equality‐led Development and the Demand‐ and Supply‐side Effects," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 50(2), pages 445-457, March.
    10. Eckhard Hein, 2020. "Gender Issues in Kaleckian Distribution and Growth Models: On the Macroeconomics of the Gender Wage Gap," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 640-664, October.
    11. Parui, Pintu, 2021. "Financialization and endogenous technological change: A post-Kaleckian perspective," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 221-244.
    12. Eckhard Hein, 2012. ""Financialization," distribution, capital accumulation, and productivity growth in a post-Kaleckian model," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 475-496.
    13. Yolanda Carbajal Suárez & Leobardo de Jesús Almonte, 2017. "Manufacturing labor in the Central Region of Mexico. An estimation by great division," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(3), pages 902-923, Julio-Sep.
    14. Eric Bengtsson & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2018. "Wages, income distribution and economic growth in Scandinavia," Working Papers PKWP1811, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    15. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J. & Sordi, Serena, 2019. "Distributive cycles and endogenous technical change in a BoPC growth model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 216-233.
    16. Franz, Wolfgang, 1993. "Unvollkommene Arbeitsmärkte in makroökonomischen Modellen: Eine Übersicht," Discussion Papers 1, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    17. Douglas Alencar & Frederico G. Jayme Jr & Gustavo Britto, 2021. "A post-Kaleckian model with productivity growth and real exchange rate applied to selected Latin American countries," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(297), pages 127-146.
    18. Jochen Hartwig, 2018. "Wachstumsfolgen von Einkommensungleichheit – Theorie, empirische Evidenz und Politikempfehlungen," Chemnitz Economic Papers 020, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology.
    19. Stefan Ederer & Stefan Schiman, 2018. "Effekte der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktion auf die Entwicklung der Produktivität in Österreich und der EU," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 44(1), pages 17-43.
    20. Heck, Ines & Oyvat, Cem, 2023. "Productivity, wages and structural change: a two-sector demand-led model," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 38601, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000090:017905. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Universidad De Los Andes-Cede (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ceandco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.