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Sensitivity of international blocs´ trade effect to alternative specifications of the gravity equation

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Abstract
There are so many versions of the gravity model in the international trade literature that their results on trade effects inevitably vary even for the same international blocs. This paper evaluates these alternative specifications, and compares the resulting trade effects. The results show that there is considerable sensitivity to the specification of the gravity model used. Therefore, it is important to use the proper specification to accurately measure the trade effects. This paper suggests that removing restrictions on the parameters of the model with the introduction of year, exporter, importer, and bilateral effects is necessary to properly specify the model. In particular, factors included in the augmented model, especially monetary and spatial variables, are significant. An analysis of the resulting model also shows that international blocs effect on trade vary across blocs by the level of integration, the degree of their implementation, and their sectoral coverage.

Suggested Citation

  • Yener Kandogan, 2007. "Sensitivity of international blocs´ trade effect to alternative specifications of the gravity equation," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 10, pages 337-360, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:cem:jaecon:v:10:y:2007:n:2:p:337-360
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    File URL: https://ucema.edu.ar/publicaciones/download/volume10/kandogan.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Ullah & Kazuo Inaba, 2012. "Impact of RTA and PTA on Bangladesh’s Export: Application of a Gravity Model," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 445-460, December.
    2. Domenico Gattuso & Gian Carla Cassone & Domenica Savia Pellicanò, 2022. "Assessment of freight traffic flows and harmful emissions in euro-mediterranean context: scenario analyses based on a gravity model," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    gravity models; trade agreements; international organizations; blocs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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