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Financial Market Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility in the MENA Region: An Empirical Investigation

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  • Neaime Simon

    (Department of Economics, Institute of Financial Economics, American University of Beirut)

Abstract
Using panel data regression models this study examines empirically the impact of regional and international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility in the developing economies of the MENA region over the period 1980-2002. Our empirical results indicate that financial openness is associated with an increase in consumption volatility, contrary to the notions of improved international risk-sharing opportunities through financial integration. Our empirical findings emphasize the role of sound fiscal and monetary policies in driving macroeconomic volatility. In regard to structural reforms, the development of the domestic financial sector is critical, as a high degree of financial sector development is significantly associated with lower macroeconomic volatility. We argue that enhancing regional financial integration might constitute a venue to circumvent the vulnerability of the small open MENA economies to external shocks, and a mean to enhance consumption smoothing opportunities, as well as international financial integration.

Suggested Citation

  • Neaime Simon, 2005. "Financial Market Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility in the MENA Region: An Empirical Investigation," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 3(3), pages 59-83, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:3:y:2005:i:3:n:5
    DOI: 10.2202/1475-3693.1045
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Nurrachmi, Rininta, 2018. "Movements of Islamic Stock Indices in Selected OIC Countries," MPRA Paper 96539, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Macar Stoianov, 2008. "The impact of the trade and financial openness on the economic growth in the countries from the Eastern Europe," Advances in Economic and Financial Research - DOFIN Working Paper Series 14, Bucharest University of Economics, Center for Advanced Research in Finance and Banking - CARFIB.
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    5. Ahmed H. Elsayed & Gareth Downing & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2024. "Exploring the role of oil shocks on the financial stability of Gulf Cooperation Council countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1804-1819, April.
    6. Mohamed Arouri & Christophe Rault, 2010. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets: What Drives What in the Gulf Corporation Council Countries," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 122, pages 41-56.
    7. Neaime, Simon & Gaysset, Isabelle, 2017. "Sustainability of macroeconomic policies in selected MENA countries: Post financial and debt crises," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 129-140.
    8. Felina B. Duncan & Zulal S. Denaux, 2013. "Determinants Of Economic Success In The Middle East And North Africa," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(5), pages 25-34.
    9. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Awartani, Basel & Hilu, Khalil Al, 2015. "Dynamic transmissions between the U.S. and equity markets in the MENA countries: New evidence from pre- and post-global financial crisis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 123-138.
    10. Mohamed El Hédi Arouri & Christophe Rault, 2010. "Les effets des fluctuations du prix du pétrole sur les marchés boursiers dans les pays du Golfe," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 61(5), pages 945-959.
    11. Mohamed El hedi Arouri & Christophe Rault, 2009. "On the Influence of Oil Prices on Stock Markets: Evidence from Panel Analysis in GCC Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 2690, CESifo.
    12. Boako, Gideon & Alagidede, Paul, 2016. "African stock markets convergence: Regional and global analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 317-321.
    13. Rabia Haroon & Zainab Jehan, 2022. "Measuring the impact of violence on macroeconomic instability: evidence from developing countries," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(1), pages 3-30, January.
    14. El-Masry, Ahmed A. & de Mingo-López, Diego Víctor & Matallín-Sáez, Juan Carlos & Tortosa-Ausina, Emili, 2016. "Environmental conditions, fund characteristics, and Islamic orientation: An analysis of mutual fund performance for the MENA region," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 132(S), pages 174-197.
    15. Feriansyah & Noer Azam Achsani & Tony Irawan, 2018. "The Effect Of Financial Liberalization And Capital Flows On Income Volatility In Asia-Pacific," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 20(3), pages 257-278, January.
    16. Neaime, Simon, 2012. "The global financial crisis, financial linkages and correlations in returns and volatilities in emerging MENA stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 268-282.
    17. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Financial stress dynamics in the MENA region: Evidence from the Arab Spring," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 20-34.
    18. Zhu, Mingxun & Wang, Yanping & Wei, Min & Cai, Zhen, 2023. "How does digital finance affect consumer online shopping: A comprehensive analysis based on econometric model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    19. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Sohag, Kazi & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2024. "Oil shocks and financial stability in MENA countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    20. Ahmed El-Masry & Dalia El-Mosallamy & Juan Carlos Matallín-Sáez & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2015. "Mutual Fund Performance in MENA Countries: Environmental Conditions and Fund Characteristics," Working Papers 2015/02, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    21. Michael Donadelli & Ivan Gufler, 2021. "Consumption smoothing, risk sharing and financial integration," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 143-187, January.
    22. Somar Almohamad & Anil V. Mishra & Xiao Yu, 2018. "Mena Stock Markets Integration: Pre and Post Global Financial Crisis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(2), pages 107-141, June.
    23. Ben Naceur, Samy & Ghazouani, Samir & Omran, Mohammed, 2008. "Does stock market liberalization spur financial and economic development in the MENA region?," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 673-693, December.

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