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Increasing Public Expenditure: Wagner’s Law in OECD Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Lamartina Serena

    (European Central Bank,Frankfurt, Germany)

  • Zaghini Andrea

    (Banca d’Italia,Rome, Italy)

Abstract
The paper proposes a panel cointegration analysis of the joint development of government expenditure and economic growth in 23 Organization Economic Cooperation and Development countries. The empirical evidence provides indication of a structural positive correlation between public spending and per-capita gross domestic product (GDP), which is consistent with the so-called Wagner’s law. A long-run elasticity larger than 1 suggests a more than proportional increase of government expenditure with respect to economic activity. In addition, according to the spirit of the law, we found that the correlation is usually higher in countries with lower per-capita GDP, suggesting that the catching-up period is characterized by a stronger development of government activities with respect to economies in a more advanced state of development.

Suggested Citation

  • Lamartina Serena & Zaghini Andrea, 2011. "Increasing Public Expenditure: Wagner’s Law in OECD Countries," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 149-164, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:germec:v:12:y:2011:i:2:p:149-164
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0475.2010.00517.x
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal policy; Wagner’s Law; panel cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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