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Evaluating Changes in the Transmission Mechanism of Government Spending Shocks

Author

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  • Rebei Nooman

    (International Monetary Fund, 700 19th St. NW. Washington, DC, 20431, USA)

Abstract
We empirically revisit the crowding-in effect of government spending on private consumption based on rolling windows of U.S. data. Results show that in earlier samples government spending is increasingly crowding in private consumption; however, this relation is reverted in the latest periods. We propose a model embedding non-separable public and private consumption in the utility function and rule-of-thumb consumers to assess the sources of non-monotonic changes in the transmission of the shock. The iterative full information estimation of the model reveals that changes in the co-movement between private and public spending is primarily driven by the fluctuations in the elasticity of substitution between private and public consumption, the share of financially constrained consumers, and the elasticity of intertemporal substitution.

Suggested Citation

  • Rebei Nooman, 2021. "Evaluating Changes in the Transmission Mechanism of Government Spending Shocks," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 253-280, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejmac:v:21:y:2021:i:1:p:253-280:n:11
    DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2017-0266
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    1. Zhang, Zuomin & Dai, Ling, 2023. "The bank loan distribution effect of government spending expansion: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian vector autoregression; government spending; rule-of-thumb consumers; government spending in utility; tax rule;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
    • H5 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies

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