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Government-spending multipliers and the zero lower bound in an open economy

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  • Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo
Abstract
What is the size of the government-spending multiplier in an open economy when the Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) on the nominal interest rate is binding? Using a theoretical framework, in a closed economy, Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Rebelo (2011), show that, when the nominal interest rate is binding, the government-spending multiplier can be close to four. Their theory helps us to understand the government spending multiplier in ZLB, but it is difficult to match that theory with the data. We propose a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium in open macroeconomics, with market imperfections, wage and price rigidities and endogenous smoothing monetary policy. We argue that, in a closed economy and in the presence of ZLB, there is no crowding out effect through interest rates. We also argue that in an open economy, there is another channel for the crowding out effect via the real exchange rate. For an open economy, the multiplier falls to the levels usually observed in small, closed economies for which the ZLB is not binding.
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  • Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo, 2017. "Government-spending multipliers and the zero lower bound in an open economy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(5), pages 1046-1077, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:25:y:2017:i:5:p:1046-1077
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    Cited by:

    1. LEBIHAN, Laetitia & MAO TAKONGMO, Charles Olivier & McKELLIPS, Fanny, 2017. "Health Inequalities for Immigrants in Canada : Quebec versus the Rest of Canada," MPRA Paper 79970, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2017.
    2. Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo & Laetitia Lebihan, 2021. "Government Spending, GDP and Exchange Rate in Zero Lower Bound: Measuring Causality at Multiple Horizons," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 139-160, March.
    3. Lebihan Laetitia & Olivier Mao Takongmo Charles & McKellips Fanny, 2018. "Health Disparities for Immigrants: Theory and Evidence from Canada," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 69(3), pages 183-206, December.
    4. MAO TAKONGMO, Charles Olivier, 2019. "Keynesian Models, Detrending, and the Method of Moments," MPRA Paper 91709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Garcia-Barragan, Fernando & Liu, Guangling, 2021. "Great recession, exports crunch, and China's fiscal stimulus in a global zero lower bound environment," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo, 2021. "DSGE models, detrending, and the method of moments," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 67-99, January.
    7. Mao Takongmo, Charles-O. & Touré, Adam, 2023. "Trade openness and connectedness of national productions: Do financial openness, economic specialization, and the size of the country matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    8. MAO TAKONGMO, Charles Olivier, 2019. "Revisiting the AA-DD model in Zero Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 91829, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. DIARRA, Setou & LEBIHAN, Laetitia & MAO TAKONGMO, Charles Olivier, 2018. "Polygyny, Child Education, Health and Labour: Theory and Evidence from Mali," MPRA Paper 88518, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo & Laetitia Lebihan, 2021. "Government Spending, GDP and Exchange Rate in Zero Lower Bound: Measuring Causality at Multiple Horizons," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 139-160, March.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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